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FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Suduva - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Darius and Girėnas Stadium, Kaunas
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Karashima Y.
30' Event
Debeljuh G.
58'
Sub
Burba M. In: Benchaib A.
Out: Burba M.

AI Match Summary

FK Kauno Zalgiris in this TOPLYGA matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Kauno Zalgiris.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
FK Kauno Zalgiris
20%
Draws
15%
Suduva
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Kauno Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FK Kauno Zalgiris lately — more wins on the board than Suduva.
  • FK Kauno Zalgiris are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
FK Kauno Zalgiris Clean Sheet 68%
Suduva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Kauno Zalgiris Suduva
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 16 14
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.61 1.57
Goals Conceded 1 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2026 TOPLYGA
Suduva vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
0:1
Sep 9, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Suduva
5:1
May 23, 2026 TOPLYGA
Suduva vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
2:1
Mar 21, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Suduva
1:1
Jan 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Suduva vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Kauno Zalgiris Compare

Top Goalscorer Karashima Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Debeljuh G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Suduva Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsykalo Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Kauno Zalgiris 95 / 100
Suduva 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Kauno Zalgiris Suduva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Kauno Zalgiris Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

FK Kauno Zalgiris's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Suduva let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: FK Kauno Zalgiris stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Kauno Zalgiris VS Suduva
2.13 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Kauno Zalgiris

(Home)
19 Oct
Suduva
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
15 Oct
Brighton
4 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris
11 Oct
FK Minija
0 : 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris
20 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
16 Sept
Zalgiris
3 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
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Suduva

(Away)
19 Oct
Suduva
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
10 Oct
Zalgiris
4 : 0
Suduva
29 Sept
Jagiellonia
5 : 0
Suduva
20 Sept
FC Hegelmann
1 : 1
Suduva
13 Sept
Suduva
0 : 0
Zalgiris
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 29 15 9 5 57:20 54
2 Zalgiris 30 15 5 10 49:35 50
3 Suduva 30 13 11 6 39:30 50
4 Transinvest 29 13 7 9 46:38 46
5 Banga 29 11 8 10 33:30 41
6 Dziugas Telsiai 29 10 9 10 39:43 39
7 FK Panevezys 29 10 5 14 31:44 35
8 FC Hegelmann 30 4 14 12 32:52 26
9 FA Siauliai 29 3 8 18 24:58 17
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)