Sport Picks

Lithuania

Division 2 2012

Granitas Vilnius

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FK Kedainiai play Granitas Vilnius in the Division 2 2012. Granitas Vilnius are favorites here. Recently, FK Kedainiai averaged 0.7 goals scored and 5 conceded. Granitas Vilnius averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, FK Kedainiai won 0, Granitas Vilnius won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 20, 2012 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for FK Kedainiai and 3.75 for Granitas Vilnius. This points to a Granitas Vilnius double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%

FK Kedainiai

15%

Draws

73%

Granitas Vilnius

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Granitas Vilnius

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

FK Kedainiai picked up more points recently compared to Granitas Vilnius.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 3.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 84%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

FK Kedainiai Clean Sheet 10%

Granitas Vilnius Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 85%

Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FK Kedainiai	Granitas Vilnius
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	2	15
Draws	2	6
Losses	26	9
Goals Scored	0.7	2.2
Goals Conceded	5	1.43
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	5.00	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2012 I Lyga

FK Kedainiai vs Granitas Vilnius

Possession: 52% - 45% Cards: 1 - 1

0:4

Aug 18, 2012 I Lyga

Granitas Vilnius vs FK Kedainiai

Possession: 45% - 54% Cards: 3 - 2

5:0

Jun 2, 2012 I Lyga

FK Kedainiai vs Granitas Vilnius

Possession: 52% - 55% Cards: 4 - 4

1:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Kedainiai 13 / 100

Granitas Vilnius 68 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FK Kedainiai Granitas Vilnius

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Granitas Vilnius Win (2)

Secondary Pick Granitas Vilnius & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +200%

25.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +7.5%

1.28

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FK Kedainiai attacking → ← attacking Granitas Vilnius

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Kedainiai scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Granitas Vilnius let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

FK Kedainiai went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Granitas Vilnius lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

8 Points in last 5 51

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.50

5.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88