Sport Picks

Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup 2008/2009

Svyturys Marijampole

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FK Klaipeda play Svyturys Marijampole in the Lithuanian Cup 2008/2009. Svyturys Marijampole are favorites here. Recently, FK Klaipeda averaged 0.71 goals scored and 2.71 conceded. Svyturys Marijampole averaged 1.89 goals scored and 2.11 conceded. In past meetings, FK Klaipeda won 1, Svyturys Marijampole won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 5, 2008 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for FK Klaipeda and 2.81 for Svyturys Marijampole. This points to a Svyturys Marijampole double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%

FK Klaipeda

15%

Draws

64%

Svyturys Marijampole

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Svyturys Marijampole

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence

FK Klaipeda picked up more points recently compared to Svyturys Marijampole.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 2.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 72%

Over 3.5 Goals 43%

Over 4.5 Goals 22%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

FK Klaipeda Clean Sheet 10%

Svyturys Marijampole Clean Sheet 13%

First Half Goal 74%

Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FK Klaipeda	Svyturys Marijampole
Matches Played	31	18
Wins	3	11
Draws	3	0
Losses	25	7
Goals Scored	0.71	1.89
Goals Conceded	2.71	2.11
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.25	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2008 Lithuanian Cup

FK Klaipeda vs Svyturys Marijampole

Possession: 43% - 52% Cards: 3 - 1

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Klaipeda 21 / 100

Svyturys Marijampole 60 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FK Klaipeda Svyturys Marijampole

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Svyturys Marijampole Win (2)

Secondary Pick Svyturys Marijampole & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +61.5%

7.69

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.4%

1.52

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FK Klaipeda attacking → ← attacking Svyturys Marijampole

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Klaipeda scored in 45% of their last 31 games.

Svyturys Marijampole let in goals in 89% of their last 18 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

FK Klaipeda went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Svyturys Marijampole lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

12 Points in last 5 33

0.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.38

3.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75