Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Kompozit vs Neftekhimik

Russia Russia

Russian Cup 2024/2025
Wed, Sep 25, 2024
1 - 0
04:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Lebedev N.
46'
Sub
Magomedov R. In: Pershin M.
Out: Magomedov R.
46'
Sub
Rodin D. In: Petrov M.
Out: Rodin D.

AI Match Summary

FK Kompozit in this Russian Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
FK Kompozit
15%
Draws
39%
Neftekhimik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Kompozit

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FK Kompozit lately — more wins on the board than Neftekhimik.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • FK Kompozit have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor FK Kompozit, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
FK Kompozit Clean Sheet 20%
Neftekhimik Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Kompozit Neftekhimik
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.77 1
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2024 Russian Cup
FK Kompozit vs Neftekhimik
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Kompozit 32 / 100
Neftekhimik 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Kompozit Neftekhimik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Kompozit's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Neftekhimik's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

FK Kompozit has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Neftekhimik's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Neftekhimik
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Kompozit

(Home)
22 Feb
S. Kostroma
1 : 1
FK Kompozit
20 Feb
FK Kompozit
0 : 1
Zenit St Petersburg 2
16 Feb
FK Kompozit
1 : 0
Spartak Moscow 2
12 Feb
Dordoi Bishkek
2 : 1
FK Kompozit
07 Feb
CSKA Moscow 2
1 : 3
FK Kompozit
Page 1 of 6

Neftekhimik

(Away)
09 Sept
FC Chertanovo Moscow
2 : 1
Neftekhimik
05 Sept
Yenisey
0 : 2
Neftekhimik
28 Aug
Neftekhimik
0 : 1
Ufa
24 Aug
R. Volgograd
0 : 1
Neftekhimik
20 Aug
Neftekhimik
1 : 2
PFC Sochi
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Kamaz -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torpedo Moscow -
Ryazan -
TBD -
TBD -
D. Bryansk -
Kaluga -
TBD -
Pskov 747 1
Luki-Energiya 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Baltika -
FC Oryol -
TBD -
TBD -
Kursk -
Spartak Tambov -
TBD -
TBD -
Salyut-Belgorod -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Saratov -
Ural -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SKA Khabarovsk -
Chelyabinsk -
TBD -
TBD -
Irtysh Omsk -
Saturn Ramenskoye -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Chertanovo Moscow -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tyumen -
Veles Moscow -
TBD -
Amkal Moscow 8
FK Kolomna 1
Kosmos -
TBD -
TBD -
Sakhalin -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alania Vladikavkaz -
Amkar -
TBD -
Ilpar FC 0
Uralets Nizhny Tagil 2
Nosta -
TBD -
TBD -
Torpedo Miass -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chernomorets Novorossijsk -
M. Lipetsk -
TBD -
TBD -
Penza -
FK Kompozit -
TBD -
SSh Leningradets 1
Dynamo Petersburg 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Neftekhimik -
FC Volgar-Astrakhan -
TBD -
FK Pobeda 1
Angust Nazran 0
Astrakhan -
TBD -
TBD -
Legion Makhachkala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ufa -
FC Irkutsk -
TBD -
Anri Vladivostok 1
Dynamo Vladivostok 5
Sibir Novosibirsk -
TBD -
Temp Barnaul 2
Dynamo Barnaul 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shinnik Yaroslavl -
FC Murom -
TBD -
FK ZOV 2
Vladimir 3
Khimik -
TBD -
Broke Boys 2
Kvant Obninsk 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye -
Leningradets -
TBD -
Kristall 4
Zvezda St Peterburg 1
Znamya Truda -
TBD -
Kirovets-Voskhozhdenie 0
FK Tver 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal Tula -
Kuban -
TBD -
Kuban Kholding 2
Maykop 1
Forte Taganrog -
TBD -
TBD -
KDV Tomsk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PFC Sochi -
Ulyanovsk -
TBD -
Orgenergostroy Dimitrovgrad 3
Lada Togliatti 4
Kirov -
TBD -
Sokol Kazan 2
Volna Nizhegorodskaya 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
R. Volgograd -
Mashuk -
TBD -
Nart Cherkessk 1
Biolog 2
Dynamo Stavropol -
TBD -
TBD -
Spartak Nalchik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rodina Moscow -
Tekstilshtik -
TBD -
Cherepovets 0
Dynamo Vologda 1
S. Kostroma -
TBD -
2Drots 1
Strogino Moscow 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yenisey -
1/16-finals
Kamaz -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torpedo Moscow -
Ryazan 4
D. Bryansk 0
Kaluga 1
Luki-Energiya 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Baltika -
FC Oryol 2
Kursk 0
Spartak Tambov 2
Salyut-Belgorod 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Saratov -
Ural -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SKA Khabarovsk -
Chelyabinsk 2
Irtysh Omsk 1
Saturn Ramenskoye 1
FC Chertanovo Moscow 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tyumen -
Veles Moscow 0
Amkal Moscow 2
Kosmos 2
Sakhalin 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alania Vladikavkaz -
Amkar 2
Uralets Nizhny Tagil 1
Nosta 0
Torpedo Miass 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chernomorets Novorossijsk -
M. Lipetsk 1
Penza 2
FK Kompozit 2
Dynamo Petersburg 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Neftekhimik -
FC Volgar-Astrakhan 3
FK Pobeda 1
Astrakhan 2
Legion Makhachkala 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ufa -
FC Irkutsk 0
Dynamo Vladivostok 1
Sibir Novosibirsk 4
Temp Barnaul 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shinnik Yaroslavl -
FC Murom 3
Vladimir 2
Khimik 1
Broke Boys 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye -
Leningradets 4
Kristall 0
Znamya Truda 2
FK Tver 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal Tula -
Kuban 0
Kuban Kholding 5
Forte Taganrog 5
KDV Tomsk 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PFC Sochi -
Ulyanovsk 2
Lada Togliatti 0
Kirov 3
Sokol Kazan 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
R. Volgograd -
Mashuk 2
Biolog 0
Dynamo Stavropol 1
Spartak Nalchik 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rodina Moscow -
Tekstilshtik 3
Dynamo Vologda 1
S. Kostroma 1
2Drots 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yenisey -
1/8-finals
Kamaz -
TBD -
TBD -
Torpedo Moscow -
Ryazan 0
Luki-Energiya 3
TBD -
Baltika -
FC Oryol 4
Salyut-Belgorod 2
TBD -
Saratov -
Ural -
TBD -
TBD -
SKA Khabarovsk -
Chelyabinsk 1
FC Chertanovo Moscow 0
TBD -
Tyumen -
Amkal Moscow 2
Kosmos 1
TBD -
Alania Vladikavkaz -
Amkar 1
Torpedo Miass 0
TBD -
Chernomorets Novorossijsk -
Penza 0
FK Kompozit 3
TBD -
Neftekhimik -
FC Volgar-Astrakhan 2
Astrakhan 1
TBD -
Ufa -
Dynamo Vladivostok 2
Sibir Novosibirsk 0
TBD -
Shinnik Yaroslavl -
FC Murom 2
Khimik 3
TBD -
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye -
Leningradets 0
Znamya Truda 2
TBD -
Arsenal Tula -
Kuban Kholding 1
Forte Taganrog 0
TBD -
PFC Sochi -
Ulyanovsk 7
Kirov 0
TBD -
R. Volgograd -
Mashuk 1
Dynamo Stavropol 0
TBD -
Rodina Moscow -
Tekstilshtik 1
S. Kostroma 2
TBD -
Yenisey -
Quarter-finals
Kamaz 1
Torpedo Moscow 2
Luki-Energiya 1
Baltika 2
FC Oryol 2
Saratov 3
Ural 1
SKA Khabarovsk 0
Chelyabinsk 0
Tyumen 2
Amkal Moscow 0
Alania Vladikavkaz 1
Amkar 4
Chernomorets Novorossijsk 3
FK Kompozit 1
Neftekhimik 0
FC Volgar-Astrakhan 1
Ufa 2
Dynamo Vladivostok 0
Shinnik Yaroslavl 1
Khimik 0
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 3
Znamya Truda 2
Arsenal Tula 1
Kuban Kholding 0
PFC Sochi 5
Ulyanovsk 2
R. Volgograd 1
Mashuk 0
Rodina Moscow 3
S. Kostroma 1
Yenisey 0
Semi-finals
Torpedo Moscow 0
Baltika 4
Saratov 1
Ural 3
Tyumen 1
Alania Vladikavkaz 0
Amkar 1
FK Kompozit 0
Ufa 0
Shinnik Yaroslavl 1
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2
Znamya Truda 0
PFC Sochi 2
Ulyanovsk 0
Rodina Moscow 1
S. Kostroma 2
Final
Baltika 0
Ural 1
Tyumen 3
Amkar 0
Shinnik Yaroslavl 1
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 0
PFC Sochi 3
S. Kostroma 2