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FK Kompozit vs Penza

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Konoplev D.
43' Event
Agalakov V.
61' Event
Tyumentsev D.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2024 game between FK Kompozit and Penza finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Kompozit.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
FK Kompozit
15%
Draws
48%
Penza
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FK Kompozit come out ahead of Penza on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors FK Kompozit here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
FK Kompozit Clean Sheet 20%
Penza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Kompozit Penza
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 14 10
Draws 7 2
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 1.77 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.27 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FK Kompozit vs Penza
5:1
Sep 5, 2024 Russian Cup
FK Kompozit vs Penza
3:0
Jun 13, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Penza vs FK Kompozit
0:3
Oct 8, 2023 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Penza vs FK Kompozit
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Kompozit Compare

Top Goalscorer Gryaznov V.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Agalakov V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Penza Compare

Top Goalscorer Konoplev D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Kompozit 32 / 100
Penza 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Kompozit Penza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penza has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

FK Kompozit found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: FK Kompozit remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Penza
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Kompozit

(Home)
22 Feb
S. Kostroma
1 : 1
FK Kompozit
20 Feb
FK Kompozit
0 : 1
Zenit St Petersburg 2
16 Feb
FK Kompozit
1 : 0
Spartak Moscow 2
12 Feb
Dordoi Bishkek
2 : 1
FK Kompozit
07 Feb
CSKA Moscow 2
1 : 3
FK Kompozit
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Penza

(Away)
05 Sept
Penza
2 : 1
SKA Khabarovsk 2
29 Aug
FK Shumbrat Saransk
1 : 3
Penza
22 Aug
Penza
1 : 0
Spartak Tambov
15 Aug
Kursk
1 : 0
Penza
08 Aug
Penza
0 : 2
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dynamo Vladivostok 28 20 3 5 42:17 63
2 Kosmos 28 16 6 6 45:23 54
3 FK Kompozit 28 16 6 6 59:40 54
4 Salyut-Belgorod 28 13 9 6 49:34 48
5 Spartak Tambov 28 12 8 8 37:28 44
6 Khimki 2 28 13 5 10 37:34 44
7 Sakhalin 28 12 6 10 29:24 42
8 Penza 28 10 7 11 34:35 37
9 Ryazan 28 9 8 11 33:31 35
10 FC Oryol 28 10 5 13 34:32 35
11 Strogino Moscow 28 9 4 15 24:38 31
12 Arsenal Tula 2 28 9 4 15 31:40 31
13 SKA Khabarovsk 2 28 7 6 15 38:50 27
14 FK Kolomna 28 5 6 17 22:56 21
15 Kvant Obninsk 28 4 7 17 19:51 19
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2024/2025 (Fall Season)