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FK Kozlovice vs Breclav

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group E 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Kozlovice play Breclav in the 4. liga - Group E 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, FK Kozlovice averaged 2.03 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. Breclav averaged 1.24 goals scored and 1.76 conceded. In past meetings, FK Kozlovice won 2, Breclav won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 10, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for FK Kozlovice and 1.06 for Breclav. This points to a FK Kozlovice double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
FK Kozlovice
19%
Draws
27%
Breclav
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: FK Kozlovice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • FK Kozlovice picked up more points recently compared to Breclav.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
FK Kozlovice Clean Sheet 22%
Breclav Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Kozlovice Breclav
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 8 3
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 2.03 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2026 4. liga - Group E
FK Kozlovice vs Breclav
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 4. liga - Group E
Breclav vs FK Kozlovice
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Kozlovice 53 / 100
Breclav 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Kozlovice Breclav

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Kozlovice Win (1)
Secondary Pick FK Kozlovice & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FK Kozlovice attacking → ← attacking Breclav

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Kozlovice scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Breclav let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

FK Kozlovice went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Breclav lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 33
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88