Sport Picks

Czech Republic

MOL Cup Kozlovice - trava, Kozlovice

FK Frydek-Mistek

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the MOL Cup. This has FK Kozlovice written all over it on paper. FK Kozlovice have averaged 2.38 scored and 0.5 conceded recently, against FK Frydek-Mistek's 1.38 scored and 1.38 conceded. Head-to-head, FK Kozlovice have won 0 to FK Frydek-Mistek's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 6, 2025, ending 0:6. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back FK Kozlovice to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

FK Kozlovice

33%

Draws

27%

FK Frydek-Mistek

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: FK Kozlovice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

FK Frydek-Mistek haven't matched FK Kozlovice's recent run of results.
40% — that's where the model lands on FK Kozlovice taking it.
FK Kozlovice have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor FK Frydek-Mistek, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%

FK Kozlovice Clean Sheet 20%

FK Frydek-Mistek Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FK Kozlovice	FK Frydek-Mistek
Matches Played	31	28
Wins	16	15
Draws	7	7
Losses	8	6
Goals Scored	2.38	1.38
Goals Conceded	0.5	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	2.38	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2025 MOL Cup

FK Kozlovice vs FK Frydek-Mistek

0:6

Aug 17, 2022 MOL Cup

FK Kozlovice vs FK Frydek-Mistek

2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Kozlovice 40 / 100

FK Frydek-Mistek 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FK Kozlovice FK Frydek-Mistek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Kozlovice found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

FK Frydek-Mistek let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

FK Kozlovice went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Kozlovice VS FK Frydek-Mistek

2.38 Goals Scored 1.38

0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38

63% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Kozlovice

(Home)

18 Jul

FK Kozlovice

1 : 3

FK Blansko

15 Jul

FK Kozlovice

2 : 0

Vsetin

10 Jun

FK Kozlovice

1 : 0

Breclav

07 Jun

Skastice

1 : 5

FK Kozlovice

03 Jun

FK Kozlovice

3 : 1

Sternberk

Page 1 of 7

FK Frydek-Mistek

(Away)

17 Jul

FK Frydek-Mistek

8 : 1

Valasske Mezirici

10 Jul

BKS Sparta Katowice

2 : 0

FK Frydek-Mistek

12 Jun

FK Frydek-Mistek

2 : 2

Hlubina

06 Jun

Slovacko B

2 : 2

FK Frydek-Mistek

29 May

FK Frydek-Mistek

1 : 1

Hodonin

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Horni Becva-

Valasske Mezirici-

Rajecko-

Zdar nad Sazavou-

Belotin-

Novy Jicin-

Vsechovice-

Hlubina-

Zdirec nad Doubravou-

FC Kurim-

Bedrichov-

Humpolec-

Zabreh-

SK Hranice-

Strani-

Vsetin-

Hluk-

Brumov-

Vratimov FC-

Havirov-

MFK Kravare-

Bohumin-

Lanzhot-

Bystrc-

Bohunice-

Uhersky Brod-

Chotebor-

Velke Mezirici-

SK Krumvir-

Znojmo-

Bridlicna-

Hlucin-

TJ Bystrice-

Frydlant n. Ost.-

Stonava-

Polanka nad Odrou-

Holesov-

Slavicin-

Velka Bites-

FK Blansko-

Bzenec-

Breclav-

FK Kozlovice-

FK Frydek-Mistek-

Sparta Brno-

Nove Mesto na Morave-

Bilovec-

Vitkovice-

FS Trebic-

Tasovice-

Nove Sady-

Sumperk-

Stara Rise-

Slovan Havlickuv Brod-

Sternberk-

Rymarov-

FC Pencin-

Turnov-

Vykan-

Caslav-

Velvary-

Brandys nad Labem-

Slany-

Brozany-

Slavia HK-

Trutnov-

Nyrsko-

Krimice-

Petrin Plzen-

FK Komarov-

Hvezda Cheb-

Sokolov-

Rychnov nad Kneznou-

Chlumec nad Cidlinou-

Prepere-

Velke Hamry-

Klasterec nad Ohri-

Ostrov-

Kolin-

Horni Redice-

Vejprnice-

Doubravka-

Branik-

Meteor Prague-

Usti nad Orlici-

Svitavy-

Vysehrad-

Hostoun-

Rokycany-

SK Horovice-

Spartak Pribram-

Povltavska FA-

Hluboka nad Vltavou-

Spartak Sobeslav-

Psary-

Motorlet Prague-

Tempo Prague-

Loko Praha-

Karlovy Vary-

Chomutov-

Vysoke Myto-

Letohrad-

Dvur Kralove-

Police nad Metuji-

Steti-

Varnsdorf-

Hermanuv Mestec-

Hlinsko-

Slavia Ceske Budejovice-

Cesky Krumlov-

SK Strakonice 1908-

Milevsko-

Vestec-

Benesov-

Kosmonosy-

Neratovice-

TBD-

1/64-finals

TBD-

1/32-finals

TBD-

1/16-finals

TBD-

1/8-finals

TBD-

Quarter-finals

TBD-

Semi-finals

TBD-

Final

TBD-