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FK Kvik vs Nardo

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Halvorsen K.
36' Event
Skjaeran M.
37' Event
Bandlien V.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 2 game between FK Kvik and Nardo finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Kvik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
FK Kvik
39%
Draws
31%
Nardo
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Nardo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
FK Kvik Clean Sheet 11%
Nardo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Kvik Nardo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.88 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
FK Kvik vs Nardo
2:1
Oct 26, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
FK Kvik vs Nardo
2:2
Jun 1, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Nardo vs FK Kvik
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Kvik Compare

Top Goalscorer Skjaeran M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bandlien V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Nardo Compare

Top Goalscorer Halvorsen K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Kvik 29 / 100
Nardo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Kvik Nardo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Kvik scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Nardo has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Nardo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Kvik VS Nardo
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%