Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Lida vs BumProm Gomel

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga Yunost Stadium, Lida
FK Lida Logo

FK Lida

0 - 2
FT
BumProm Gomel Logo

BumProm Gomel

Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Ivanovsky V.
64'
Sub
Galushko A. In: Khodyko D.
Out: Galushko A.
65'
Parmonov K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

BumProm Gomel in this Pershaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored BumProm Gomel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
FK Lida
15%
Draws
28%
BumProm Gomel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Lida

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Lida have won more games recently than BumProm Gomel.
  • 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
FK Lida Clean Sheet 12%
BumProm Gomel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Lida BumProm Gomel
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 12
Draws 3 4
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.9 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Pershaya Liga
BumProm Gomel vs FK Lida
4:0
May 23, 2026 Pershaya Liga
FK Lida vs BumProm Gomel
0:2
Sep 27, 2025 Pershaya Liga
BumProm Gomel vs FK Lida
3:2
May 25, 2025 Pershaya Liga
FK Lida vs BumProm Gomel
3:1
Nov 9, 2024 Pershaya Liga
FK Lida vs BumProm Gomel
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Lida Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

BumProm Gomel Compare

Top Goalscorer Grudko I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Potorocha V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Lida 29 / 100
BumProm Gomel 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Lida BumProm Gomel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Lida Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Lida scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: BumProm Gomel conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: FK Lida remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FK Lida VS BumProm Gomel
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Lida

(Home)
25 Sept
FK Lida
2 : 1
Smorgon
19 Sept
BumProm Gomel
4 : 0
FK Lida
13 Sept
FK Lida
3 : 2
FC Minsk 2
05 Sept
Osipovichi
1 : 2
FK Lida
29 Aug
Soligorsk
1 : 2
FK Lida
Page 1 of 6

BumProm Gomel

(Away)
19 Sept
BumProm Gomel
4 : 0
FK Lida
13 Sept
Niva Dolbizno
2 : 1
BumProm Gomel
05 Sept
BumProm Gomel
1 : 2
SKA-1938 Minsk
29 Aug
Slutsk
4 : 1
BumProm Gomel
22 Aug
BumProm Gomel
2 : 1
Din. Minsk 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Lida 26 16 3 7 49:43 51
2 Slutsk 25 15 6 4 48:24 51
3 Niva Dolbizno 25 16 3 6 63:31 51
4 SKA-1938 Minsk 25 14 5 6 48:30 47
5 FC Slonim 26 14 4 8 48:31 46
6 Molodechno 25 14 3 8 44:36 45
7 BumProm Gomel 25 11 4 10 47:37 37
8 Soligorsk 25 10 6 9 49:43 36
9 Din. Minsk 2 25 10 5 10 42:37 35
10 Volna Pinsk 25 10 4 11 40:44 34
11 Ostrovets 25 8 9 8 35:37 33
12 Smorgon 26 8 6 12 31:36 30
13 FC Minsk 2 25 9 3 13 36:46 30
14 Orsha 25 7 5 13 27:46 26
15 Uni X Labs 25 6 7 12 24:34 25
16 BATE 2 26 5 6 15 35:60 21
17 FC Gomel 2 25 5 6 14 33:48 21
18 Osipovichi 25 5 3 17 26:62 18
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)