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Stadium Background

FK Lida vs Orsha - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga Yunost Stadium, Lida
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Lida host Orsha in the Pershaya Liga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. FK Lida have averaged 2 scored and 1.71 conceded recently, against Orsha's 1.27 scored and 1.83 conceded. Head-to-head, FK Lida have won 4 to Orsha's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 13, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 1.31) point toward FK Lida. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
FK Lida
20%
Draws
11%
Orsha
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Lida

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Orsha haven't matched FK Lida's recent run of results.
  • Model gives FK Lida a 69% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Pershaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FK Lida have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
FK Lida Clean Sheet 18%
Orsha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Lida Orsha
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 9
Draws 3 6
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 2 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs FK Lida
1:2
Aug 23, 2025 Pershaya Liga
FK Lida vs Orsha
2:0
Apr 19, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs FK Lida
1:3
Oct 19, 2024 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs FK Lida
2:4
Jun 23, 2024 Pershaya Liga
FK Lida vs Orsha
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Lida 85 / 100
Orsha 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Lida Orsha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Lida Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FK Lida scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Orsha has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

FK Lida went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Lida VS Orsha
2 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Lida

(Home)
02 Oct
Volna Pinsk
0 : 2
FK Lida
25 Sept
FK Lida
2 : 1
Smorgon
19 Sept
BumProm Gomel
4 : 0
FK Lida
13 Sept
FK Lida
3 : 2
FC Minsk 2
05 Sept
Osipovichi
1 : 2
FK Lida
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Orsha

(Away)
03 Oct
Orsha
0 : 0
Niva Dolbizno
26 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
5 : 1
Orsha
19 Sept
Orsha
0 : 3
Slutsk
11 Sept
Din. Minsk 2
0 : 0
Orsha
06 Sept
Orsha
2 : 3
Ostrovets
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slutsk 27 17 6 4 56:28 57
2 Niva Dolbizno 27 17 4 6 67:31 55
3 FK Lida 27 17 3 7 51:43 54
4 SKA-1938 Minsk 27 16 5 6 56:31 53
5 FC Slonim 27 14 5 8 49:32 47
6 Molodechno 26 14 3 9 45:40 45
7 BumProm Gomel 27 12 5 10 52:41 41
8 Soligorsk 27 11 7 9 52:44 40
9 Din. Minsk 2 25 10 5 10 42:37 35
10 Ostrovets 27 8 11 8 37:39 35
11 Volna Pinsk 27 10 4 13 40:50 34
12 Smorgon 27 9 6 12 33:36 33
13 FC Minsk 2 27 9 3 15 37:50 30
14 Orsha 27 7 6 14 28:51 27
15 Uni X Labs 26 6 8 12 25:35 26
16 BATE 2 27 5 7 15 36:61 22
17 FC Gomel 2 27 5 6 16 36:55 21
18 Osipovichi 27 5 4 18 29:67 19
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2027 (Main)
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