Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Liepaja vs Alcoyano

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event

AI Match Summary

Alcoyano in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alcoyano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
FK Liepaja
35%
Draws
30%
Alcoyano
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • FK Liepaja have won more games recently than Alcoyano.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on FK Liepaja taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
FK Liepaja Clean Sheet 68%
Alcoyano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Liepaja Alcoyano
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 12
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.29 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.42 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 Club Friendly
FK Liepaja vs Alcoyano
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Liepaja 86 / 100
Alcoyano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Liepaja Alcoyano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Liepaja Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FK Liepaja scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: FK Liepaja remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Alcoyano has conceded goals in 46% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

FK Liepaja VS Alcoyano
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Liepaja

(Home)
19 Sept
FK Liepaja
0 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
11 Sept
Ogre United
2 : 2
FK Liepaja
07 Sept
RFS
0 : 0
FK Liepaja
31 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 2
Riga FC
25 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
FK Liepaja
Page 1 of 7

Alcoyano

(Away)
20 Sept
Alcoyano
2 : 0
UD Poblense
12 Sept
Castellon B
3 : 0
Alcoyano
05 Sept
Alcoyano
1 : 1
Ciudad Cieza
22 Aug
Alcoyano
2 : 2
Valencia B
19 Aug
Aguilas FC
3 : 0
Alcoyano
Page 1 of 6