Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Liepaja vs FC Jurmala

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Virslīga 2014 Daugavas stadions
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Ikaunieks J.
27' Event
Sadcins I.
59' Event
Grebis K.

AI Match Summary

FK Liepaja in this Virslīga 2014 matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Liepaja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FK Liepaja
6%
Draws
4%
FC Jurmala
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FK Liepaja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FK Liepaja lately — more wins on the board than FC Jurmala.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on FK Liepaja taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FK Liepaja here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
FK Liepaja Clean Sheet 68%
FC Jurmala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Liepaja FC Jurmala
Matches Played 38 29
Wins 19 1
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 24
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2014 Virsliga
FK Liepaja vs FC Jurmala
6:0
Aug 3, 2014 Virsliga
FC Jurmala vs FK Liepaja
0:1
Jun 11, 2014 Virsliga
FK Liepaja vs FC Jurmala
7:0
May 10, 2014 Virsliga
FC Jurmala vs FK Liepaja
2:3
Apr 16, 2014 Virsliga
FC Jurmala vs FK Liepaja
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Liepaja Compare

Top Goalscorer Ikaunieks J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Grebis K.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

FC Jurmala Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Liepaja 95 / 100
FC Jurmala 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Liepaja FC Jurmala

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FKL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Jurmala has conceded goals in 97% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

FC Jurmala's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: FK Liepaja scored in 71% of their last 38 outings.

Scoring Trends

FK Liepaja VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ventspils36265575:2083
2Skonto362511077:3471
3Jelgava362010657:2770
4FK Liepaja362131272:4566
5FC Daugava Daugavpils36198953:3965
6Spartaks Jurmala361491338:3251
7FK Daugava Riga361341948:6443
8BFC Daugavpils36852330:6529
9FK Metta36372626:6916
10FC Jurmala36262829:1107