Sport Picks
FK Liepaja vs Jelgava
Latvia
Virsliga Daugavas stadions, Liepāja 
AI Match Summary
FK Liepaja host Jelgava in the Virsliga. This one's hard to separate. Jelgava have shipped 1.66 goals a game lately, while FK Liepaja have conceded 1.42 and scored 1.32. Head-to-head, FK Liepaja have won 3 to Jelgava's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 26, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.25, favoring FK Liepaja. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- FK Liepaja have won more games recently than Jelgava.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FK Liepaja | Jelgava |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.42 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jelgava let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
FK Liepaja scored in 68% of their last 31 games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
FK Liepaja has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
FK Liepaja
(Home)Jelgava
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFS | 30 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 71:22 | 74 |
| 2 | Riga FC | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 86:30 | 73 |
| 3 | FK Auda Riga | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 49:30 | 61 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 41:43 | 43 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 35:35 | 39 |
| 6 | Super Nova | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 29:40 | 35 |
| 7 | Jelgava | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 32:49 | 32 |
| 8 | Grobina | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 21:52 | 26 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 31 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 44:61 | 24 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 31 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 30:76 | 18 |
