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FK Liepaja vs Olimps Riga

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Virslīga 2011 Daugavas stadions, Liepāja
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Match Events

15' Event
21' Event
45' Event

AI Match Summary

The Virslīga 2011 game between FK Liepaja and Olimps Riga finished 7-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Liepaja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
FK Liepaja
30%
Draws
0%
Olimps Riga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FK Liepaja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FK Liepaja come out ahead of Olimps Riga on wins alone.
  • FK Liepaja are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Virslīga 2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FK Liepaja here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
FK Liepaja Clean Sheet 68%
Olimps Riga Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Liepaja Olimps Riga
Matches Played 47 30
Wins 24 1
Draws 8 3
Losses 15 26
Goals Scored 1.91 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.34 3.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2011 Virsliga
FK Liepaja vs Olimps Riga
7:1
Jul 17, 2011 Virsliga
Olimps Riga vs FK Liepaja
0:3
May 18, 2011 Virsliga
FK Liepaja vs Olimps Riga
4:1
Apr 2, 2011 Virsliga
Olimps Riga vs FK Liepaja
1:4
Nov 7, 2010 Virsliga
FK Liepaja vs Olimps Riga
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Liepaja 95 / 100
Olimps Riga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Liepaja Olimps Riga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Liepaja Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimps Riga has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Olimps Riga's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

FK Liepaja found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (47 games).

Scoring Trends

FK Liepaja VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Liepaja

(Home)
19 Sept
FK Liepaja
0 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
11 Sept
Ogre United
2 : 2
FK Liepaja
07 Sept
RFS
0 : 0
FK Liepaja
31 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 2
Riga FC
25 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
FK Liepaja
Page 1 of 10

Olimps Riga

(Away)
13 Nov
Spartaks Jurmala
2 : 0
Olimps Riga
10 Nov
Olimps Riga
1 : 2
Spartaks Jurmala
05 Nov
Olimps Riga
1 : 3
Jelgava
30 Oct
FC Jurmala
6 : 1
Olimps Riga
15 Oct
FK Daugava Riga
4 : 0
Olimps Riga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Liepaja 32 22 4 6 72:26 70
2 Ventspils 32 21 6 5 73:20 69
3 FC Daugava Daugavpils 32 19 7 6 59:28 64
4 Skonto 32 17 9 6 62:21 60
5 FC Jurmala 32 12 8 12 45:42 44
6 Jelgava 32 13 4 15 47:54 43
7 Gulbene 32 7 7 18 39:67 28
8 FK Daugava Riga 32 5 6 21 34:75 21
9 Olimps Riga 32 1 3 28 19:117 6
Relegation - Virslīga 2011 (Relegation)
Promotion - Champions League 2012/2013 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2012/2013 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2012/2013 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2012/2013 (Qualification)