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FK Metta vs FC Daugava Daugavpils

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Virslīga 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Metta play FC Daugava Daugavpils in the Virslīga 2014. It looks like a close match. Recently, FK Metta averaged 2.24 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. FC Daugava Daugavpils averaged 1.39 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, FK Metta won 0, FC Daugava Daugavpils won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 17, 2014 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.98 for FK Metta and 0.94 for FC Daugava Daugavpils. This points to a FC Daugava Daugavpils double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
FK Metta
15%
Draws
49%
FC Daugava Daugavpils
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Daugava Daugavpils

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • FK Metta picked up more points recently compared to FC Daugava Daugavpils.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.98 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
FK Metta Clean Sheet 24%
FC Daugava Daugavpils Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Metta FC Daugava Daugavpils
Matches Played 41 31
Wins 19 15
Draws 4 8
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 2.24 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2014 Virsliga
FK Metta vs FC Daugava Daugavpils
0:1
Aug 9, 2014 Virsliga
FC Daugava Daugavpils vs FK Metta
2:1
Jun 14, 2014 Virsliga
FK Metta vs FC Daugava Daugavpils
0:1
Apr 19, 2014 Virsliga
FC Daugava Daugavpils vs FK Metta
1:0
Feb 23, 2014 League Cup
FC Daugava Daugavpils vs FK Metta
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Metta Compare

Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

FC Daugava Daugavpils Compare

Top Goalscorer Ignatans V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Metta 37 / 100
FC Daugava Daugavpils 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Metta FC Daugava Daugavpils

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Daugava Daugavpils or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FK Metta attacking → ← attacking FC Daugava Daugavpils

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Metta scored in 80% of their last 41 games.

FC Daugava Daugavpils let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

FK Metta went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

FC Daugava Daugavpils lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

61 Points in last 5 53
2.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ventspils36265575:2083
2Skonto362511077:3471
3Jelgava362010657:2770
4FK Liepaja362131272:4566
5FC Daugava Daugavpils36198953:3965
6Spartaks Jurmala361491338:3251
7FK Daugava Riga361341948:6443
8BFC Daugavpils36852330:6529
9FK Metta36372626:6916
10FC Jurmala36262829:1107