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FK Metta vs FK Daugava Riga

Latvia Latvia

League Cup 2015
Thu, Feb 19, 2015
VS
11:15 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the League Cup 2015. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. FK Daugava Riga have shipped 1.92 goals a game lately, while FK Metta have conceded 1 and scored 3.72. Head-to-head, FK Metta have won 0 to FK Daugava Riga's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 19, 2015, ending 0:0. The numbers (2.42 xG vs 1.06) point toward FK Metta. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
FK Metta
15%
Draws
0%
FK Daugava Riga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Metta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FK Metta come out ahead of FK Daugava Riga on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans FK Metta's way, sitting at 90%.
  • FK Metta have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor FK Daugava Riga, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • FK Daugava Riga have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
FK Metta Clean Sheet 20%
FK Daugava Riga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Metta FK Daugava Riga
Matches Played 32 24
Wins 23 9
Draws 3 3
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 3.72 1.42
Goals Conceded 1 1.92
Expected Goals (xG) 2.42 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2015 League Cup
FK Metta vs FK Daugava Riga
0:0
Oct 3, 2014 Virsliga
FK Metta vs FK Daugava Riga
1:2
Aug 1, 2014 Virsliga
FK Daugava Riga vs FK Metta
2:0
Jun 11, 2014 Virsliga
FK Daugava Riga vs FK Metta
1:0
May 10, 2014 Virsliga
FK Metta vs FK Daugava Riga
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Metta 85 / 100
FK Daugava Riga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Metta FK Daugava Riga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Metta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Metta's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Solid form: FK Metta remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

FK Daugava Riga lost 5 of their last 5 games.

FK Daugava Riga let in goals in 78% of their last 23 matches.

Scoring Trends

FK Metta VS -
3.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Metta

(Home)
19 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 3
FK Metta
12 Sept
FK Metta
7 : 0
JFK Ventspils
05 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 2
FK Metta
29 Aug
FK Smiltene
0 : 6
FK Metta
23 Aug
Rezekne
0 : 2
FK Metta
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FK Daugava Riga

(Away)
04 Apr
Jelgava
:
FK Daugava Riga
08 Nov
Skonto
4 : 1
FK Daugava Riga
01 Nov
FK Daugava Riga
1 : 3
Jelgava
26 Oct
Spartaks Jurmala
1 : 0
FK Daugava Riga
20 Oct
FK Daugava Riga
2 : 4
FK Liepaja
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