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FK Metta vs Marupe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Metta host Marupe in the 1. Liga. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Marupe have shipped 1.52 goals a game lately, while FK Metta have conceded 0.93 and scored 4.03. Past meetings favor FK Metta slightly — 3-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 18, 2026, ending 0:4. The numbers (2.81 xG vs 1.31) point toward FK Metta. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
FK Metta
30%
Draws
27%
Marupe
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FK Metta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • FK Metta have won more games recently than Marupe.
  • Win probability leans FK Metta's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and FK Metta have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
FK Metta Clean Sheet 18%
Marupe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Metta Marupe
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 23 12
Draws 3 3
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 4.03 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 1. Liga
Marupe vs FK Metta
0:4
Jul 13, 2025 Latvian Cup
Marupe vs FK Metta
1:4
Feb 8, 2024 Club Friendly
FK Metta vs Marupe
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Metta 85 / 100
Marupe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Metta Marupe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Metta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Metta's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.67 goals per match.

Solid form: FK Metta remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Marupe conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

FK Metta VS Marupe
4.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Metta

(Home)
17 Oct
Super Nova 2
1 : 3
FK Metta
10 Oct
FK Metta
4 : 0
Riga Mariners
19 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 3
FK Metta
12 Sept
FK Metta
7 : 0
JFK Ventspils
05 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 2
FK Metta
Page 1 of 6

Marupe

(Away)
18 Oct
JFK Ventspils
0 : 0
Marupe
10 Oct
RFS 2
2 : 3
Marupe
20 Sept
Marupe
0 : 0
Riga FC 2
12 Sept
Marupe
5 : 0
Tukums 2000 2
29 Aug
Marupe
0 : 2
Alberts JDFS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Metta 23 19 3 1 96:18 60
2 Valmiera 23 16 5 2 63:26 53
3 Leevon PPK 23 16 5 2 49:27 53
4 Riga Mariners 23 15 5 3 54:30 50
5 Alberts JDFS 23 12 5 6 46:33 41
6 Marupe 23 10 3 10 37:34 33
7 Riga FC 2 23 8 6 9 36:39 30
8 Skanste 23 8 2 13 46:48 26
9 Super Nova 2 23 6 8 9 30:36 26
10 FK Smiltene 23 5 5 13 34:61 20
11 Tukums 2000 2 23 5 4 14 31:65 19
12 RFS 2 23 5 3 15 37:65 18
13 JFK Ventspils 23 3 7 13 21:45 16
14 Rezekne 23 1 3 19 17:70 6
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