Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Minija vs FK Panevezys

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup Kretinga Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Komissarov N.
16'
Aderounmu K.
28'
Kurtsev O.

AI Match Summary

The Lithuanian Cup game between FK Minija and FK Panevezys finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Minija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FK Minija
6%
Draws
4%
FK Panevezys
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FK Minija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FK Minija come out ahead of FK Panevezys on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on FK Minija taking it.
  • Cup games in Lithuanian Cup usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FK Panevezys here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
FK Minija Clean Sheet 20%
FK Panevezys Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Minija FK Panevezys
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 21 13
Draws 3 4
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2026 Lithuanian Cup
FK Minija vs FK Panevezys
2:1
Jul 30, 2016 I Lyga
FK Minija vs FK Panevezys
2:4
Apr 2, 2016 I Lyga
FK Panevezys vs FK Minija
2:0
Aug 23, 2015 I Lyga
FK Panevezys vs FK Minija
2:1
May 9, 2015 I Lyga
FK Minija vs FK Panevezys
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Minija Compare

Top Goalscorer Komissarov N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pipiras D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

FK Panevezys Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Minija 85 / 100
FK Panevezys 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Minija FK Panevezys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FKM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: FK Minija stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

FK Minija found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

FK Panevezys let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

FK Minija VS FK Panevezys
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Pempininkai2
Sirijus1
FK Minija3
Suduva2
FK Atmosfera2
Zalgiris1
SSPC FSK Radviliskis0
FK Panevezys2
Klaipedos FM1
BE1 NFA0
Viltis Vilnius1
Dainava Alytus7
Kursenai1
Transinvest10
Tauras Taurage1
FC Hegelmann4
Ataka Vilnius4
FK Sirvena Birzai0
Jonava0
FA Siauliai4
Neptunas0
Dziugas Telsiai2
Vilniaus Vytis0
Banga4
BFA Vilnius1
FK Babrungas0
AFK Vilnius0
Garliava3
Vilnius FA0
Riteriai1
FK Sveikata Kybartai0
FK Kauno Zalgiris3
1/8-finals
Pempininkai1
FK Minija4
FK Atmosfera0
FK Panevezys3
Klaipedos FM0
Dainava Alytus2
Transinvest2
FC Hegelmann0
Ataka Vilnius1
FA Siauliai2
Dziugas Telsiai1
Banga0
BFA Vilnius2
Garliava1
Riteriai0
FK Kauno Zalgiris4
Quarter-finals
FK Minija2
FK Panevezys1
Dainava Alytus2
Transinvest1
FA Siauliai2
Dziugas Telsiai1
BFA Vilnius0
FK Kauno Zalgiris3
Semi-finals
FK Minija-
Dainava Alytus-
FA Siauliai-
FK Kauno Zalgiris-
Final
TBD-
TBD-