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FK Minija vs FK Babrungas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Minija host FK Babrungas in the I Lyga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: FK Minija at 2.7 goals for, 0.63 against; FK Babrungas at 1.9 for, 0.72 against. Past meetings favor FK Babrungas slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 29, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (2.00 - 1.06) back FK Minija to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
FK Minija
15%
Draws
34%
FK Babrungas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Minija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Babrungas haven't matched FK Minija's recent run of results.
  • FK Minija are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FK Babrungas here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
FK Minija Clean Sheet 20%
FK Babrungas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Minija FK Babrungas
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 27 21
Draws 1 4
Losses 2 4
Goals Scored 2.7 1.9
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs FK Minija
1:0
Jul 22, 2025 I Lyga
FK Minija vs FK Babrungas
0:1
Mar 8, 2025 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs FK Minija
1:0
Sep 14, 2024 I Lyga
FK Minija vs FK Babrungas
0:4
Apr 26, 2024 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs FK Minija
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Minija 85 / 100
FK Babrungas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Minija FK Babrungas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Minija Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Minija found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

FK Minija went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

FK Babrungas let in goals in 41% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

FK Minija VS FK Babrungas
3.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Minija

(Home)
02 Oct
FK Minija
5 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
19 Sept
FK Minija
2 : 1
Neptunas
12 Sept
Dainava Alytus
0 : 3
FK Minija
05 Sept
FK Minija
3 : 0
Transinvest 2
01 Sept
FK Minija
3 : 2
Dainava Alytus
Page 1 of 6

FK Babrungas

(Away)
20 Sept
Zalgiris 2
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
11 Sept
FK Babrungas
3 : 2
FK Atmosfera
04 Sept
BFA Vilnius
2 : 1
FK Babrungas
29 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
21 Aug
FK Babrungas
1 : 1
Tauras Taurage
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 25 22 1 2 68:13 67
2 FK Babrungas 25 19 4 2 43:11 61
3 BE1 NFA 25 16 3 6 46:26 51
4 Zalgiris 2 26 14 4 8 40:33 46
5 Neptunas 25 14 2 9 33:30 44
6 BFA Vilnius 26 13 4 9 40:37 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 26 11 8 7 37:27 41
9 FK Atmosfera 24 8 6 10 37:33 30
10 Garliava 25 8 4 13 31:28 28
11 Jonava 25 7 6 12 28:33 27
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 26 7 2 17 26:46 23
13 Transinvest 2 25 6 3 16 29:58 21
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 25 6 1 18 26:59 19
15 Siauliai 2 26 4 6 16 30:59 18
16 Ekranas 25 4 2 19 25:58 14
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)