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FK Minija vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Nwegbo D.
34' Event
Amirzian S.
37' Event
Diawara M.

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga game between FK Minija and FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Minija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
FK Minija
15%
Draws
27%
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Minija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 haven't matched FK Minija's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on FK Minija taking it.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FK Minija have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
FK Minija Clean Sheet 20%
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Minija FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 27 7
Draws 1 2
Losses 2 20
Goals Scored 2.7 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 I Lyga
FK Minija vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
5:0
Apr 19, 2026 I Lyga
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs FK Minija
0:4
Sep 13, 2025 I Lyga
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs FK Minija
1:2
May 10, 2025 I Lyga
FK Minija vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
2:0
Aug 3, 2024 I Lyga
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs FK Minija
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Minija Compare

Top Goalscorer Nwegbo D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Amirzian S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Minija 85 / 100
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Minija FK Kauno Zalgiris 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Minija Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Minija found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

FK Minija has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FK Minija VS FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Minija

(Home)
02 Oct
FK Minija
5 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
19 Sept
FK Minija
2 : 1
Neptunas
12 Sept
Dainava Alytus
0 : 3
FK Minija
05 Sept
FK Minija
3 : 0
Transinvest 2
01 Sept
FK Minija
3 : 2
Dainava Alytus
Page 1 of 6

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2

(Away)
09 Oct
Siauliai 2
3 : 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
02 Oct
FK Minija
5 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
19 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3 : 2
Garliava
12 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
2 : 1
Ekranas
04 Sept
BE1 NFA
1 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 25 22 1 2 68:13 67
2 FK Babrungas 26 20 4 2 45:11 64
3 BE1 NFA 25 16 3 6 46:26 51
4 Zalgiris 2 26 14 4 8 40:33 46
5 Neptunas 26 14 2 10 33:31 44
6 BFA Vilnius 26 13 4 9 40:37 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 26 11 8 7 37:27 41
9 FK Atmosfera 25 8 7 10 37:33 31
10 Garliava 26 8 5 13 31:28 29
11 Jonava 26 7 6 13 28:35 27
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 26 7 2 17 26:46 23
13 Transinvest 2 26 6 4 16 30:59 22
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 26 7 1 18 27:59 22
15 Siauliai 2 26 4 6 16 30:59 18
16 Ekranas 26 4 3 19 26:59 15
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)