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FK Minija vs Garliava - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Minija host Garliava in the I Lyga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: FK Minija at 2.59 goals for, 0.84 against; Garliava at 1.27 for, 1.13 against. Head-to-head, FK Minija have won 1 to Garliava's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Jun 26, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 1.19, favoring FK Minija. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
FK Minija
15%
Draws
46%
Garliava
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Garliava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FK Minija come out ahead of Garliava on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
FK Minija Clean Sheet 20%
Garliava Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Minija Garliava
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 26 10
Draws 1 5
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 2.59 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 I Lyga
Garliava vs FK Minija
0:1
Aug 31, 2024 I Lyga
Garliava vs FK Minija
4:2
Apr 6, 2024 I Lyga
FK Minija vs Garliava
0:0
Sep 30, 2023 I Lyga
Garliava vs FK Minija
2:0
May 13, 2023 I Lyga
FK Minija vs Garliava
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Minija 31 / 100
Garliava 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Minija Garliava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Minija Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Minija found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (32 games).

Garliava let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

FK Minija went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Minija VS Garliava
2.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Minija

(Home)
24 Oct
BFA Vilnius
2 : 1
FK Minija
17 Oct
FK Minija
2 : 3
FK Babrungas
11 Oct
FK Minija
0 : 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris
02 Oct
FK Minija
5 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
19 Sept
FK Minija
2 : 1
Neptunas
Page 1 of 7

Garliava

(Away)
23 Oct
Garliava
0 : 2
Zalgiris 2
17 Oct
Siauliai 2
2 : 3
Garliava
10 Oct
Garliava
0 : 0
FK Atmosfera
02 Oct
Garliava
2 : 1
Dainava Alytus
19 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3 : 2
Garliava
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Babrungas 28 22 4 2 52:13 70
2 FK Minija 27 22 1 4 71:18 67
3 BE1 NFA 27 18 3 6 50:27 57
4 Zalgiris 2 28 15 4 9 44:36 49
5 BFA Vilnius 28 14 4 10 42:41 46
6 Neptunas 28 14 2 12 33:35 44
7 Dainava Alytus 28 12 8 8 40:29 44
8 Tauras Taurage 27 13 5 9 48:37 44
9 FK Atmosfera 27 10 7 10 43:35 37
10 Garliava 28 9 5 14 34:32 32
11 Jonava 28 8 6 14 31:38 30
12 Transinvest 2 28 8 4 16 35:61 28
13 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 28 9 1 18 27:45 28
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 28 7 2 19 31:67 23
15 Ekranas 28 5 3 20 29:62 18
16 Siauliai 2 28 4 5 19 31:65 17
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)