Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Minija vs Hegelmann Litauen 2

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Kasparavicius J.
5' Event
Aderounmu K.
53' Event
Kasparavicius J.

AI Match Summary

FK Minija play Hegelmann Litauen 2 in the I Lyga. FK Minija are favorites here. Recently, FK Minija averaged 2 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. Hegelmann Litauen 2 averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. In past meetings, FK Minija won 4, Hegelmann Litauen 2 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 18, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for FK Minija and 0.88 for Hegelmann Litauen 2. This points to a FK Minija double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FK Minija
6%
Draws
4%
Hegelmann Litauen 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FK Minija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Minija has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Hegelmann Litauen 2.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for FK Minija.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in I Lyga provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
FK Minija Clean Sheet 68%
Hegelmann Litauen 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Minija Hegelmann Litauen 2
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 20 8
Draws 3 4
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 2 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.63 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 I Lyga
FK Minija vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
3:0
Sep 19, 2025 I Lyga
FK Minija vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
2:0
May 18, 2025 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs FK Minija
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs FK Minija
1:0
Jun 1, 2024 I Lyga
FK Minija vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Minija Compare

Top Goalscorer Kasparavicius J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Aderounmu K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Hegelmann Litauen 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Minija 95 / 100
Hegelmann Litauen 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Minija Hegelmann Litauen 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FKM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Minija scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Hegelmann Litauen 2 let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

FK Minija went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Hegelmann Litauen 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Minija VS Hegelmann Litauen 2
2 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Minija15131139:940
2FK Babrungas15123026:439
3BE1 NFA15102328:1532
4Neptunas1591520:1728
5Tauras Taurage1591527:1628
6Dainava Alytus1583426:1527
7Garliava1564522:1422
8BFA Vilnius1571718:2422
9FK Atmosfera1563623:1721
10Zalgiris 21553721:2518
11Jonava1545618:2017
12Transinvest 21542913:3614
13Hegelmann Litauen 215411016:3213
14Ekranas15211215:297
15FK Kauno Zalgiris 21521127:247
16Siauliai 215141013:357