Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Minija vs Zalgiris 2

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Minija play Zalgiris 2 in the I Lyga. FK Minija are favorites here. Recently, FK Minija averaged 2.75 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Zalgiris 2 averaged 1.5 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, FK Minija won 4, Zalgiris 2 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 14, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.44 for FK Minija and 1.13 for Zalgiris 2. This points to a FK Minija double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FK Minija
6%
Draws
4%
Zalgiris 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FK Minija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Minija has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Zalgiris 2.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for FK Minija.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in I Lyga provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
FK Minija Clean Sheet 20%
Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Minija Zalgiris 2
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 21 9
Draws 3 8
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 2.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 I Lyga
FK Minija vs Zalgiris 2
4:0
Oct 24, 2025 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs FK Minija
0:1
Jun 17, 2025 I Lyga
FK Minija vs Zalgiris 2
1:4
Oct 15, 2023 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs FK Minija
2:3
May 27, 2023 I Lyga
FK Minija vs Zalgiris 2
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Minija Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee Min-Woo
2 Goals
Assists Leader Amirzian S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Zalgiris 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Minija 85 / 100
Zalgiris 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Minija Zalgiris 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FKM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Minija scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Zalgiris 2 let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

FK Minija went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Zalgiris 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Minija VS Zalgiris 2
2.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Minija15131139:940
2FK Babrungas15123026:439
3BE1 NFA15102328:1532
4Neptunas1591520:1728
5Tauras Taurage1591527:1628
6Dainava Alytus1583426:1527
7Garliava1564522:1422
8BFA Vilnius1571718:2422
9FK Atmosfera1563623:1721
10Zalgiris 21553721:2518
11Jonava1545618:2017
12Transinvest 21542913:3614
13Hegelmann Litauen 215411016:3213
14Ekranas15211215:297
15FK Kauno Zalgiris 21521127:247
16Siauliai 215141013:357