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FK Panevezys vs Banga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Aukstaitijos Stadium, Panevėžys
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Appiah A.
58' Event
Kerkez S.
Assist: Burdzilauskas E.
59'
Sub
Kouadio S. In: Veliulis E.
Out: Kouadio S.

AI Match Summary

The TOPLYGA game between FK Panevezys and Banga finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Panevezys.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
FK Panevezys
15%
Draws
21%
Banga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Panevezys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • FK Panevezys carry the better recent record into this one.
  • FK Panevezys are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FK Panevezys have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
FK Panevezys Clean Sheet 68%
Banga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Panevezys Banga
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.33 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.21 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Panevezys vs Banga
2:1
Sep 3, 2026 TOPLYGA
Banga vs FK Panevezys
0:3
May 24, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Panevezys vs Banga
1:0
Mar 21, 2026 TOPLYGA
Banga vs FK Panevezys
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 TOPLYGA
Banga vs FK Panevezys
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Panevezys Compare

Top Goalscorer Kerkez S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bizoza P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Banga Compare

Top Goalscorer Appiah A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Panevezys 95 / 100
Banga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Panevezys Banga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Panevezys Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FK Panevezys scored in 76% of their last 33 outings.

Banga has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: FK Panevezys remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FK Panevezys VS Banga
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Panevezys

(Home)
17 Oct
FK Panevezys
2 : 1
Banga
03 Oct
Zalgiris
0 : 2
FK Panevezys
26 Sept
FK Panevezys
2 : 0
BFA Vilnius
13 Sept
FK Panevezys
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
07 Sept
FC Hegelmann
1 : 3
FK Panevezys
Page 1 of 7

Banga

(Away)
17 Oct
FK Panevezys
2 : 1
Banga
19 Sept
Banga
2 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
14 Sept
Banga
1 : 3
Transinvest
03 Sept
Banga
0 : 3
FK Panevezys
30 Aug
Banga
0 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 29 15 9 5 57:20 54
2 Zalgiris 30 15 5 10 49:35 50
3 Suduva 30 13 11 6 39:30 50
4 Transinvest 29 13 7 9 46:38 46
5 Banga 29 11 8 10 33:30 41
6 Dziugas Telsiai 29 10 9 10 39:43 39
7 FK Panevezys 29 10 5 14 31:44 35
8 FC Hegelmann 30 4 14 12 32:52 26
9 FA Siauliai 29 3 8 18 24:58 17
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)