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FK Panevezys vs FA Siauliai - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Aukstaitijos Stadium, Panevėžys
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
12:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Panevezys host FA Siauliai in the TOPLYGA. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. FK Panevezys have averaged 1.31 scored and 1.22 conceded recently, against FA Siauliai's 1.07 scored and 1.73 conceded. Head-to-head, FK Panevezys have won 2 to FA Siauliai's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 17, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 0.81) point toward FK Panevezys. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
FK Panevezys
15%
Draws
7%
FA Siauliai
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Panevezys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FK Panevezys come out ahead of FA Siauliai on wins alone.
  • Model gives FK Panevezys a 78% chance of winning this.
  • Regular TOPLYGA form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
FK Panevezys Clean Sheet 20%
FA Siauliai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Panevezys FA Siauliai
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.31 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 TOPLYGA
FA Siauliai vs FK Panevezys
1:0
Jun 20, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Panevezys vs FA Siauliai
3:2
Apr 18, 2026 TOPLYGA
FA Siauliai vs FK Panevezys
3:1
Oct 5, 2025 TOPLYGA
FA Siauliai vs FK Panevezys
3:3
Jul 20, 2025 TOPLYGA
FK Panevezys vs FA Siauliai
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Panevezys 85 / 100
FA Siauliai 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Panevezys FA Siauliai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Panevezys Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FA Siauliai's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

FK Panevezys's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

FK Panevezys went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Panevezys VS FA Siauliai
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Panevezys

(Home)
03 Oct
Zalgiris
0 : 2
FK Panevezys
26 Sept
FK Panevezys
2 : 0
BFA Vilnius
13 Sept
FK Panevezys
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
07 Sept
FC Hegelmann
1 : 3
FK Panevezys
03 Sept
Banga
0 : 3
FK Panevezys
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FA Siauliai

(Away)
20 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 0
FC Hegelmann
06 Sept
Zalgiris
1 : 0
FA Siauliai
03 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
30 Aug
FA Siauliai
1 : 2
Suduva
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 28 14 9 5 56:20 51
2 Suduva 29 13 11 5 39:29 50
3 Zalgiris 29 14 5 10 45:34 47
4 Transinvest 28 13 6 9 43:35 45
5 Banga 28 11 8 9 32:28 41
6 Dziugas Telsiai 28 10 8 10 36:40 38
7 FK Panevezys 28 9 5 14 29:43 32
8 FC Hegelmann 29 4 14 11 31:48 26
9 FA Siauliai 29 3 8 18 24:58 17
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)