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FK Panevezys vs FC Stumbras

Lithuania Lithuania

A Lyga 2019
Sun, Sep 1, 2019
3 - 0
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Panevezys host FC Stumbras in the A Lyga 2019. This has FK Panevezys written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: FK Panevezys at 1.25 goals for, 1.25 against; FC Stumbras at 0 for, 0 against. Head-to-head, FK Panevezys have won 2 to FC Stumbras's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 1, 2019, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.23 - 1.13) back FK Panevezys to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FK Panevezys
6%
Draws
4%
FC Stumbras
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FK Panevezys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Stumbras haven't matched FK Panevezys's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on FK Panevezys taking it.
  • Regular A Lyga 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
FK Panevezys Clean Sheet 20%
FC Stumbras Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Panevezys FC Stumbras
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 15 5
Draws 5 3
Losses 14 22
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2019 TOPLYGA
FK Panevezys vs FC Stumbras
3:0
Jun 22, 2019 TOPLYGA
FC Stumbras vs FK Panevezys
0:3
Apr 27, 2019 TOPLYGA
FK Panevezys vs FC Stumbras
1:1
Mar 2, 2019 TOPLYGA
FC Stumbras vs FK Panevezys
1:0
Aug 6, 2016 Lithuanian Cup
FK Panevezys vs FC Stumbras
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Panevezys 85 / 100
FC Stumbras 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Panevezys FC Stumbras

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Stumbras conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

FC Stumbras lost 5 of their last 5 games.

FK Panevezys scored in 74% of their last 34 games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

FK Panevezys VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Suduva28250374:1575
2Zalgiris28212567:2265
3Riteriai28137844:2946
4FK Kauno Zalgiris281351048:3944
5FK Panevezys28871341:5331
6Atlantas28751626:5326
7Palanga28612129:7019
8FC Stumbras28432112:6015