Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Pardubice vs Bohemians 1905

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Chance Liga Stadion Arnosta Kostala, Pardubice
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Krcik D.
Assist: Mahuta R.
32' Event
Kvet R.
Assist: Cermak A.
36'
Sub
Matousek J. In: Krobot L.
Out: Matousek J.

AI Match Summary

FK Pardubice in this Chance Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Pardubice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
FK Pardubice
20%
Draws
33%
Bohemians 1905
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Pardubice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: FK Pardubice at 2.03 per game, Bohemians 1905 at 1.34.
  • FK Pardubice are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Chance Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
FK Pardubice Clean Sheet 16%
Bohemians 1905 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Pardubice Bohemians 1905
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 2.03 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Chance Liga
FK Pardubice vs Bohemians 1905
2:1
Feb 8, 2026 Chance Liga
Bohemians 1905 vs FK Pardubice
1:2
Aug 30, 2025 Chance Liga
FK Pardubice vs Bohemians 1905
1:1
Apr 5, 2025 Chance Liga
FK Pardubice vs Bohemians 1905
2:0
Nov 3, 2024 Chance Liga
Bohemians 1905 vs FK Pardubice
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Pardubice Compare

Top Goalscorer Krcik D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Drchal V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Bohemians 1905 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kvet R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Pardubice 84 / 100
Bohemians 1905 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Pardubice Bohemians 1905

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Pardubice Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FK Pardubice scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Bohemians 1905 conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: FK Pardubice stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Pardubice VS Bohemians 1905
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Pardubice

(Home)
19 Sept
FK Pardubice
2 : 1
Bohemians 1905
16 Sept
FK Kozlovice
0 : 6
FK Pardubice
13 Sept
Ostrava
1 : 2
FK Pardubice
05 Sept
Slovacko
0 : 0
FK Pardubice
29 Aug
FK Pardubice
1 : 2
Artis Brno
Page 1 of 6

Bohemians 1905

(Away)
19 Sept
FK Pardubice
2 : 1
Bohemians 1905
12 Sept
Bohemians 1905
2 : 0
Slovacko
05 Sept
Sigma Olomouc
3 : 0
Bohemians 1905
02 Sept
Bohemians 1905
1 : 1
Jablonec
25 Aug
Zapy
2 : 3
Bohemians 1905
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slavia Prague 8 6 2 0 23:5 20
2 Liberec 9 6 2 1 13:4 20
3 Mlada Boleslav 8 5 2 1 17:9 17
4 Sigma Olomouc 8 5 1 2 16:10 16
5 Brno 9 5 1 3 12:12 16
6 Hradec Kralove 8 4 2 2 8:7 14
7 Jablonec 8 4 1 3 10:8 13
8 Teplice 8 4 1 3 15:15 13
9 Sparta Prague 8 4 0 4 15:12 12
10 Plzen 8 2 4 2 16:15 10
11 Ostrava 9 3 1 5 7:17 10
12 Bohemians 1905 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
13 FK Pardubice 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
14 Artis Brno 9 1 2 6 7:18 5
15 Slovacko 9 0 4 5 7:16 4
16 Zlin 8 0 0 8 7:18 0
Promotion - Chance Liga (Championship Group)
Promotion - Chance Liga (7th-10th places)
Relegation - Chance Liga (Relegation Group)