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FK Pobeda vs Angust Nazran

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Pobeda play Angust Nazran in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, FK Pobeda averaged 2.5 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. Angust Nazran averaged 0.38 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, FK Pobeda won 4, Angust Nazran won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 28, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for FK Pobeda and 0.63 for Angust Nazran. This points to a FK Pobeda double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FK Pobeda
6%
Draws
4%
Angust Nazran
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FK Pobeda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Pobeda has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Angust Nazran.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for FK Pobeda.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
FK Pobeda Clean Sheet 68%
Angust Nazran Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Pobeda Angust Nazran
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 2.5 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FK Pobeda vs Angust Nazran
0:1
Jun 29, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Angust Nazran vs FK Pobeda
0:1
Apr 13, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FK Pobeda vs Angust Nazran
2:0
Aug 31, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Angust Nazran vs FK Pobeda
0:2
Jul 31, 2024 Russian Cup
FK Pobeda vs Angust Nazran
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Pobeda Compare

Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Angust Nazran Compare

Top Goalscorer Yusupov S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Pobeda 95 / 100
Angust Nazran 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Pobeda Angust Nazran

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FKP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Pobeda scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Angust Nazran let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

FK Pobeda went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Angust Nazran lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Pobeda VS Angust Nazran
2.5 Goals Scored 0.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%