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FK Pobeda vs Astrakhan

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Vagabov I.
(Penalty)
59' Event
Kurbanov K.
87' Event
Slepov M.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 game between FK Pobeda and Astrakhan finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Pobeda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
FK Pobeda
20%
Draws
11%
Astrakhan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Pobeda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Astrakhan haven't matched FK Pobeda's recent run of results.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on FK Pobeda taking it.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FK Pobeda have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
FK Pobeda Clean Sheet 14%
Astrakhan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Pobeda Astrakhan
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.55 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FK Pobeda vs Astrakhan
2:1
May 16, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Astrakhan vs FK Pobeda
1:3
Aug 20, 2025 Russian Cup
Astrakhan vs FK Pobeda
1:0
Jul 5, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FK Pobeda vs Astrakhan
1:0
Apr 19, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Astrakhan vs FK Pobeda
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Pobeda Compare

Top Goalscorer Kurbanov K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Astrakhan Compare

Top Goalscorer Slepov M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Pobeda 66 / 100
Astrakhan 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Pobeda Astrakhan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Pobeda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FK Pobeda scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Astrakhan conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

FK Pobeda has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FK Pobeda VS Astrakhan
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Pobeda

(Home)
20 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala 2
0 : 2
FK Pobeda
12 Sept
FK Pobeda
2 : 1
Astrakhan
05 Sept
Izberbash
1 : 2
FK Pobeda
29 Aug
Rostov 2
4 : 0
FK Pobeda
22 Aug
FK Pobeda
3 : 0
Zarya Lugansk
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Astrakhan

(Away)
19 Sept
Izberbash
0 : 0
Astrakhan
12 Sept
FK Pobeda
2 : 1
Astrakhan
05 Sept
Astrakhan
1 : 1
Dynamo Makhachkala 2
29 Aug
Zarya Lugansk
4 : 0
Astrakhan
26 Aug
Dynamo Stavropol
1 : 0
Astrakhan
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