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FK Pobeda vs FC Sevastopol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Ivanov D.
24' Event
Osmanov R.
(Penalty)
38' Event
Zubavlenko V.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 game between FK Pobeda and FC Sevastopol finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Sevastopol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
FK Pobeda
15%
Draws
47%
FC Sevastopol
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Sevastopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Sevastopol come out ahead of FK Pobeda on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FC Sevastopol here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
FK Pobeda Clean Sheet 10%
FC Sevastopol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Pobeda FC Sevastopol
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 22
Draws 3 5
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 1.72 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FK Pobeda vs FC Sevastopol
1:3
Jun 13, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FC Sevastopol vs FK Pobeda
2:1
Nov 22, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FK Pobeda vs FC Sevastopol
1:3
Sep 20, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FC Sevastopol vs FK Pobeda
2:1
Sep 13, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FC Sevastopol vs FK Pobeda
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Pobeda Compare

Top Goalscorer Gamzatov B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

FC Sevastopol Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivanov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zubavlenko V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Pobeda 30 / 100
FC Sevastopol 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Pobeda FC Sevastopol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Pobeda found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: FC Sevastopol conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: FK Pobeda stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Pobeda VS FC Sevastopol
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Pobeda

(Home)
10 Oct
FK Pobeda
2 : 1
Rubin Yalta
03 Oct
Angust Nazran
1 : 0
FK Pobeda
26 Sept
FK Pobeda
4 : 3
Spartak Nalchik
20 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala 2
0 : 2
FK Pobeda
12 Sept
FK Pobeda
2 : 1
Astrakhan
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FC Sevastopol

(Away)
03 Oct
FC Sevastopol
2 : 0
Zarya Lugansk
26 Sept
Rostov 2
0 : 1
FC Sevastopol
22 Sept
FC Sevastopol
3 : 1
Rubin Yalta
05 Sept
FC Sevastopol
2 : 1
Kyzyltash
29 Aug
FC Sevastopol
1 : 0
Spartak Nalchik
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