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FK Pobeda vs Rostov 2

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Pobeda play Rostov 2 in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, FK Pobeda averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Rostov 2 averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, FK Pobeda won 3, Rostov 2 won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for FK Pobeda and 1.63 for Rostov 2. This points to a Rostov 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
FK Pobeda
18%
Draws
44%
Rostov 2
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Rostov 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Pobeda picked up more points recently compared to Rostov 2.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
FK Pobeda Clean Sheet 14%
Rostov 2 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Pobeda Rostov 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.3 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FK Pobeda vs Rostov 2
2:2
Nov 1, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Rostov 2 vs FK Pobeda
2:1
Oct 4, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FK Pobeda vs Rostov 2
4:2
Aug 2, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FK Pobeda vs Rostov 2
1:0
May 3, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Rostov 2 vs FK Pobeda
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Pobeda Compare

Top Goalscorer Ismailov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yamalavov I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Rostov 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Logvinenko A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Pobeda 37 / 100
Rostov 2 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Pobeda Rostov 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Rostov 2 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FK Pobeda attacking → ← attacking Rostov 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Pobeda scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Rostov 2 let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

FK Pobeda went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Rostov 2 lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 44
2.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00