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FK Pobeda vs Shahter Taganrog Prediction & H2H Stats

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Ismailov A.
11' Event
Salimov R.
14' Event
Salimov R.

AI Match Summary

FK Pobeda in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Pobeda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
FK Pobeda
20%
Draws
24%
Shahter Taganrog
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Pobeda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Pobeda haven't matched Shahter Taganrog's recent run of results.
  • Model gives FK Pobeda a 56% chance of winning this.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
FK Pobeda Clean Sheet 10%
Shahter Taganrog Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Pobeda Shahter Taganrog
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 13 16
Draws 3 5
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.69 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.55 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FK Pobeda vs Shahter Taganrog
4:3
May 30, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Shahter Taganrog vs FK Pobeda
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Pobeda Compare

Top Goalscorer Salimov R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ismailov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Shahter Taganrog Compare

Top Goalscorer Suanov R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kozhukhar I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Pobeda 56 / 100
Shahter Taganrog 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Pobeda Shahter Taganrog

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Pobeda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

FK Pobeda's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Shahter Taganrog has conceded goals in 65% of their last 26 outings.

Solid form: FK Pobeda remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FK Pobeda VS Shahter Taganrog
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Pobeda

(Home)
03 Oct
Angust Nazran
1 : 0
FK Pobeda
26 Sept
FK Pobeda
4 : 3
Spartak Nalchik
20 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala 2
0 : 2
FK Pobeda
12 Sept
FK Pobeda
2 : 1
Astrakhan
05 Sept
Izberbash
1 : 2
FK Pobeda
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Shahter Taganrog

(Away)
03 Oct
Kyzyltash
2 : 1
Shahter Taganrog
26 Sept
Shahter Taganrog
0 : 1
Rubin Yalta
19 Sept
Rostov 2
0 : 0
Shahter Taganrog
12 Sept
Shahter Taganrog
4 : 2
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2
05 Sept
Zarya Lugansk
1 : 1
Shahter Taganrog
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