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FK Podgorica vs Budva - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Montenegro Montenegro

Druga Liga
FK Podgorica Logo

FK Podgorica

Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Budva Logo

Budva

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FK Podgorica host Budva in the Druga Liga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Budva have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while FK Podgorica have conceded 1.16 and scored 1.65. Past meetings favor FK Podgorica slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 21, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.06) point toward FK Podgorica. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
FK Podgorica
35%
Draws
15%
Budva
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FK Podgorica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FK Podgorica come out ahead of Budva on wins alone.
  • FK Podgorica are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
FK Podgorica Clean Sheet 20%
Budva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Podgorica Budva
Matches Played 31 12
Wins 15 2
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.65 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Druga Liga
Budva vs FK Podgorica
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Podgorica 67 / 100
Budva 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Podgorica Budva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Podgorica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FK Podgorica scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Budva's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 12 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

FK Podgorica has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FK Podgorica VS Budva
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Podgorica

(Home)
17 Oct
FK Podgorica
2 : 1
Grbalj
11 Oct
Kom Podgorica
3 : 2
FK Podgorica
06 Oct
FK Podgorica
2 : 1
Lovcen
30 Sept
FK Podgorica
1 : 1
Jedinstvo
26 Sept
Berane
2 : 3
FK Podgorica
Page 1 of 7

Budva

(Away)
17 Oct
Budva
0 : 0
Rudar
10 Oct
Grbalj
2 : 2
Budva
04 Oct
Budva
1 : 1
Kom Podgorica
30 Sept
Budva
1 : 2
Lovcen
26 Sept
Jedinstvo
2 : 0
Budva
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Podgorica 12 6 5 1 22:15 23
2 Jedinstvo 11 6 2 3 17:13 20
3 Zeta 11 5 3 3 16:13 18
4 Grbalj 11 4 4 3 14:11 16
5 Iskra Danilovgrad 11 5 1 5 11:10 16
6 Rudar 12 4 4 4 17:17 16
7 Lovcen 11 5 1 5 16:18 16
8 Kom Podgorica 10 4 3 3 14:11 15
9 Budva 12 2 5 5 14:15 11
10 Berane 11 0 2 9 7:25 2
Promotion - Prva Crnogorska Liga (Main)
Promotion - Druga Liga (Promotion)
Promotion - Druga Liga (Relegation)