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Stadium Background

FK Podgorica vs Rudar Prediction & H2H Stats

Montenegro Montenegro

Druga Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Gazivoda S.
57' Event
Bulatovic L.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Druga Liga game between FK Podgorica and Rudar finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
FK Podgorica
35%
Draws
31%
Rudar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • FK Podgorica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans FK Podgorica's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
FK Podgorica Clean Sheet 68%
Rudar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Podgorica Rudar
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 15 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.59 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Druga Liga
FK Podgorica vs Rudar
1:1
May 20, 2026 Druga Liga
Rudar vs FK Podgorica
0:0
Mar 28, 2026 Druga Liga
FK Podgorica vs Rudar
3:2
Dec 10, 2025 Druga Liga
Rudar vs FK Podgorica
4:0
Sep 24, 2025 Druga Liga
FK Podgorica vs Rudar
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Podgorica Compare

Top Goalscorer Gazivoda S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Rudar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Podgorica 95 / 100
Rudar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Podgorica Rudar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Podgorica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: FK Podgorica stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

FK Podgorica found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Rudar let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

FK Podgorica VS Rudar
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Podgorica

(Home)
30 Sept
FK Podgorica
1 : 1
Jedinstvo
26 Sept
Berane
2 : 3
FK Podgorica
21 Sept
Budva
1 : 2
FK Podgorica
17 Sept
FK Podgorica
3 : 3
Zeta
12 Sept
Iskra Danilovgrad
1 : 1
FK Podgorica
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Rudar

(Away)
30 Sept
Rudar
4 : 0
Berane
26 Sept
Grbalj
3 : 1
Rudar
20 Sept
Rudar
1 : 1
Kom Podgorica
16 Sept
Lovcen
2 : 4
Rudar
12 Sept
Rudar
2 : 2
Jedinstvo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Podgorica 9 4 5 0 16:10 17
2 Jedinstvo 9 5 2 2 15:10 17
3 Grbalj 8 4 3 1 11:6 15
4 Zeta 9 4 3 2 13:10 15
5 Lovcen 9 4 1 4 13:16 13
6 Rudar 9 3 3 3 14:14 12
7 Kom Podgorica 8 3 2 3 10:8 11
8 Iskra Danilovgrad 9 3 1 5 5:9 10
9 Budva 9 2 2 5 11:12 8
10 Berane 9 0 2 7 5:18 2
Promotion - Prva Crnogorska Liga (Main)
Promotion - Druga Liga (Promotion)
Promotion - Druga Liga (Relegation)