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FK Riltzi vs Botev Novi Pazar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Riltzi host Botev Novi Pazar in the Third League - North-East. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: FK Riltzi at 1.11 goals for, 2.79 against; Botev Novi Pazar at 1.31 for, 1.9 against. Past meetings favor FK Riltzi slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 13, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.88) point toward FK Riltzi. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
FK Riltzi
30%
Draws
23%
Botev Novi Pazar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FK Riltzi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Botev Novi Pazar at 1.31 per game, FK Riltzi at 1.11.
  • Botev Novi Pazar are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
FK Riltzi Clean Sheet 10%
Botev Novi Pazar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Riltzi Botev Novi Pazar
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 3 7
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.11 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.79 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs FK Riltzi
1:0
Nov 15, 2025 Third League - North-East
FK Riltzi vs Botev Novi Pazar
2:0
Mar 16, 2025 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs FK Riltzi
1:0
Sep 7, 2024 Third League - North-East
FK Riltzi vs Botev Novi Pazar
4:0
Feb 25, 2023 Third League - North-East
FK Riltzi vs Botev Novi Pazar
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Riltzi 18 / 100
Botev Novi Pazar 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Riltzi Botev Novi Pazar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botev Novi Pazar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Riltzi's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Botev Novi Pazar has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Away concern: Botev Novi Pazar has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FK Riltzi VS Botev Novi Pazar
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Riltzi

(Home)
10 Oct
Cherno More II
2 : 2
FK Riltzi
26 Sept
Chernolomets
6 : 0
FK Riltzi
19 Sept
FK Riltzi
0 : 3
Ludogorets III
12 Sept
Septemvri Dragoevo
4 : 2
FK Riltzi
05 Sept
FK Riltzi
4 : 1
Ustrem Donchevo
Page 1 of 6

Botev Novi Pazar

(Away)
10 Oct
Olympic Varna
1 : 0
Botev Novi Pazar
03 Oct
Botev Novi Pazar
1 : 4
Vihren
26 Sept
Cherno More II
1 : 1
Botev Novi Pazar
19 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0
Chernomorets Balchik
13 Sept
Chernolomets
4 : 0
Botev Novi Pazar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ludogorets III 9 7 1 1 24:5 22
2 Volov Shumen 9 6 1 2 27:9 19
3 Svetkavitsa 2014 10 6 1 3 17:11 19
4 Chernolomets 9 5 3 1 21:7 18
5 Chernomorets Balchik 8 5 2 1 12:7 17
6 Benkovski 7 4 1 2 16:11 13
7 Septemvri Tervel 7 3 3 1 12:8 12
8 Devnya 2005 9 4 0 5 10:15 12
9 Cherno More II 9 3 2 4 14:11 11
10 Septemvri Dragoevo 9 3 2 4 13:19 11
11 FK Riltzi 8 3 1 4 10:17 10
12 Botev Novi Pazar 7 2 3 2 12:10 9
13 Olympic Varna 9 3 0 6 16:24 9
14 Fratria II 9 3 0 6 10:26 9
15 Aksakovo 7 2 1 4 15:20 7
16 Ustrem Donchevo 10 2 1 7 19:30 7
17 Dorostol 8 0 0 8 5:23 0
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