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FK Riltzi vs Chernomorets Balchik Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East 2025/2026 game between FK Riltzi and Chernomorets Balchik finished 0-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chernomorets Balchik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
FK Riltzi
15%
Draws
58%
Chernomorets Balchik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chernomorets Balchik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chernomorets Balchik come out ahead of FK Riltzi on wins alone.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Chernomorets Balchik taking it.
  • Regular Third League - North-East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Chernomorets Balchik here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
FK Riltzi Clean Sheet 10%
Chernomorets Balchik Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Riltzi Chernomorets Balchik
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 23
Draws 2 6
Losses 19 0
Goals Scored 1 2.55
Goals Conceded 2.76 0.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Third League - North-East
FK Riltzi vs Chernomorets Balchik
0:7
Oct 11, 2025 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Balchik vs FK Riltzi
2:1
Mar 26, 2025 Third League - North-East
FK Riltzi vs Chernomorets Balchik
0:3
Aug 17, 2024 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Balchik vs FK Riltzi
1:1
Apr 8, 2023 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Balchik vs FK Riltzi
6:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Riltzi 10 / 100
Chernomorets Balchik 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Riltzi Chernomorets Balchik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chernomorets Balchik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

FK Riltzi's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Chernomorets Balchik's defensive record shows goals conceded in 34% of 29 matches.

FK Riltzi went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Riltzi VS Chernomorets Balchik
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Riltzi

(Home)
26 Sept
Chernolomets
6 : 0
FK Riltzi
19 Sept
FK Riltzi
0 : 3
Ludogorets III
12 Sept
Septemvri Dragoevo
4 : 2
FK Riltzi
05 Sept
FK Riltzi
4 : 1
Ustrem Donchevo
30 Aug
Fratria II
0 : 1
FK Riltzi
Page 1 of 6

Chernomorets Balchik

(Away)
26 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
1 : 0
Svetkavitsa 2014
19 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0
Chernomorets Balchik
12 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
4 : 3
Olympic Varna
05 Sept
Aksakovo
1 : 4
Chernomorets Balchik
29 Aug
Cherno More II
0 : 1
Chernomorets Balchik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chernomorets Balchik 32 27 4 1 92:14 85
2 Ludogorets III 32 25 4 3 101:19 79
3 Septemvri Tervel 32 25 3 4 89:22 78
4 Volov Shumen 32 23 3 6 93:28 72
5 Chernolomets 32 20 3 9 78:43 63
6 Benkovski 32 18 6 8 68:40 60
7 Cherno More II 32 16 7 9 65:44 55
8 Ustrem Donchevo 32 17 3 12 73:67 54
9 Olympic Varna 32 10 6 16 58:80 36
10 Aksakovo 32 9 4 19 40:68 31
11 Fratria II 32 8 6 18 40:71 30
12 Svetkavitsa 2014 32 7 8 17 26:48 29
13 Botev Novi Pazar 32 8 5 19 34:69 29
14 Dorostol 32 8 4 20 29:67 28
15 Spartak Varna II 32 7 5 20 42:72 26
16 FK Riltzi 32 6 4 22 31:83 22
17 Svetkavitsa 32 0 1 31 5:129 1
Promotion - Vtora liga 2025/2026 (Main)