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FK Rostov vs Akron Togliatti - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Premier League Rostov Arena, Rostov
FK Rostov Logo

FK Rostov

1 - 0
FT
Akron Togliatti Logo

Akron Togliatti

Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Bardybakhin V.
24'
Hovhannisyan K.
45' Event
Komarov I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between FK Rostov and Akron Togliatti finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Rostov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
FK Rostov
20%
Draws
36%
Akron Togliatti
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Rostov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FK Rostov come out ahead of Akron Togliatti on wins alone.
  • Akron Togliatti are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FK Rostov have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
FK Rostov Clean Sheet 16%
Akron Togliatti Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Rostov Akron Togliatti
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.14 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 Premier League
FK Rostov vs Akron Togliatti
1:0
Aug 4, 2026 Russian Cup
Akron Togliatti vs FK Rostov
0:4
May 11, 2026 Premier League
Akron Togliatti vs FK Rostov
1:3
Nov 1, 2025 Premier League
FK Rostov vs Akron Togliatti
0:1
Mar 31, 2025 Premier League
Akron Togliatti vs FK Rostov
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Rostov Compare

Top Goalscorer Komarov I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Akron Togliatti Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Rostov 28 / 100
Akron Togliatti 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Rostov Akron Togliatti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Akron Togliatti Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Rostov found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Akron Togliatti has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

FK Rostov went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Rostov VS Akron Togliatti
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Rostov

(Home)
09 Oct
FK Rostov
1 : 0
Akron Togliatti
03 Oct
FK Rostov
0 : 3
Krasnodar
17 Sept
FK Rostov
0 : 3
Dynamo Moscow
13 Sept
Spartak Moscow
3 : 0
FK Rostov
05 Sept
FK Rostov
3 : 1
Fakel Voronezh
Page 1 of 6

Akron Togliatti

(Away)
09 Oct
FK Rostov
1 : 0
Akron Togliatti
02 Oct
Krylya Sovetov Samara
4 : 0
Akron Togliatti
17 Sept
Akron Togliatti
2 : 0
Akhmat Grozny
13 Sept
Krasnodar
1 : 1
Akron Togliatti
06 Sept
Orenburg
2 : 2
Akron Togliatti
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krasnodar 9 6 3 0 14:7 21
2 Dynamo Moscow 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
3 CSKA Moscow 9 5 4 0 15:9 19
4 Spartak Moscow 9 6 1 2 16:7 19
5 Zenit St Petersburg 9 6 0 3 19:9 18
6 Rubin Kazan 9 2 6 1 12:11 12
7 Dynamo Makhachkala 9 4 0 5 15:16 12
8 Baltika 9 3 2 4 14:12 11
9 Krylya Sovetov Samara 9 2 5 2 13:14 11
10 Akhmat Grozny 9 2 4 3 13:13 10
11 Orenburg 9 1 6 2 7:10 9
12 FK Rostov 9 2 2 5 10:17 8
13 Akron Togliatti 9 1 5 3 11:18 8
14 Lokomotiv Moscow 9 1 4 4 8:11 7
15 Rodina Moscow 9 1 2 6 10:22 5
16 Fakel Voronezh 9 0 3 6 6:13 3
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)