Sport Picks
FK Rostov vs CSKA Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
Russian Cup Rostov Arena, Rostov 
Match Events
10'
10'
Sub
Gajic M. In: Henrique Carmo
Out: Gajic M.
46'
46'
Sub
Melekhin V. In: Sako O.
Out: Melekhin V.
46'
46'
Sub
Nogueira Y. In: Radchenko M.
Out: Nogueira Y.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CSKA Moscow
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- CSKA Moscow's 1.3 goals per match outpaces what FK Rostov have produced (1.14).
- CSKA Moscow are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor FK Rostov, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
FK Rostov Clean Sheet 15%
CSKA Moscow Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FK Rostov | CSKA Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 1, 2026 Russian Cup
FK Rostov vs CSKA Moscow
2:0
Aug 8, 2026 Premier League
CSKA Moscow vs FK Rostov
0:0
Apr 21, 2026 Premier League
CSKA Moscow vs FK Rostov
1:1
Feb 18, 2026 Club Friendly
CSKA Moscow vs FK Rostov
3:1
Sep 14, 2025 Premier League
FK Rostov vs CSKA Moscow
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FK Rostov Compare
Top Goalscorer Aznaurov I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Prokhin D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
CSKA Moscow Compare
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FK Rostov 11 / 100
CSKA Moscow 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FK Rostov CSKA Moscow
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CSKA Moscow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: CSKA Moscow conceded in 89% of 27 recent games.
FK Rostov's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: FK Rostov remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
FK Rostov VS CSKA Moscow
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
FK Rostov
(Home) 03 Oct
FK Rostov
0 : 3 Krasnodar
17 Sept
FK Rostov
0 : 3 Dynamo Moscow
13 Sept
Spartak Moscow
3 : 0 FK Rostov
05 Sept
FK Rostov
3 : 1 Fakel Voronezh
01 Sept
FK Rostov
2 : 0 CSKA Moscow
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03 Oct
FK Rostov
0 : 3 Krasnodar
17 Sept
FK Rostov
0 : 3 Dynamo Moscow
05 Sept
FK Rostov
3 : 1 Fakel Voronezh
01 Sept
FK Rostov
2 : 0 CSKA Moscow
18 Aug
FK Rostov
1 : 0 Lokomotiv Moscow
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CSKA Moscow
(Away) 04 Oct
CSKA Moscow
3 : 1 Arsenal Tula
27 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 3 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
17 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
1 : 3 CSKA Moscow
12 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 1 Rubin Kazan
05 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
1 : 2 CSKA Moscow
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
1 : 3 CSKA Moscow
05 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
1 : 2 CSKA Moscow
01 Sept
FK Rostov
2 : 0 CSKA Moscow
28 Aug
Akron Togliatti
2 : 2 CSKA Moscow
04 Aug
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 2 CSKA Moscow
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Moscow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Rubin Kazan | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:7 | 4 |
| 3 | Orenburg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Rodina Moscow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 3 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Dynamo Moscow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Akhmat Grozny | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Fakel Voronezh | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:4 | 1 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 8 |
| 2 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Baltika | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 4 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 1 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Rostov | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Akron Togliatti | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 5 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:2 | 2 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
