Sport Picks
FK Rostov vs Fakel Voronezh
Russia
Premier League Rostov Arena, Rostov 
Match Events
4'
4'
El Mhassani H.
45'
45'
Sako O.
56'
56'
Mironov A.
Assist: Olusegun O.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between FK Rostov and Fakel Voronezh finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Rostov.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
73%
15%
12%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Rostov
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- FK Rostov carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans FK Rostov's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
FK Rostov Clean Sheet 68%
Fakel Voronezh Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FK Rostov | Fakel Voronezh |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Premier League
FK Rostov vs Fakel Voronezh
3:1
Jul 15, 2026 Club Friendly
FK Rostov vs Fakel Voronezh
2:1
Jul 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Fakel Voronezh vs FK Rostov
3:1
Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
FK Rostov vs Fakel Voronezh
0:2
Apr 20, 2025 Premier League
Fakel Voronezh vs FK Rostov
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FK Rostov Compare
Top Goalscorer Mironov A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kuchaev K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Fakel Voronezh Compare
Top Goalscorer Koksharov A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FK Rostov 77 / 100
Fakel Voronezh 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FK Rostov Fakel Voronezh
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FK Rostov Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FK Rostov scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Fakel Voronezh let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Away concern: Fakel Voronezh has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
FK Rostov VS Fakel Voronezh
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
FK Rostov
(Home) 17 Sept
FK Rostov
0 : 3 Dynamo Moscow
13 Sept
Spartak Moscow
3 : 0 FK Rostov
05 Sept
FK Rostov
3 : 1 Fakel Voronezh
01 Sept
FK Rostov
2 : 0 CSKA Moscow
29 Aug
Krasnodar
1 : 0 FK Rostov
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
FK Rostov
0 : 3 Dynamo Moscow
05 Sept
FK Rostov
3 : 1 Fakel Voronezh
01 Sept
FK Rostov
2 : 0 CSKA Moscow
18 Aug
FK Rostov
1 : 0 Lokomotiv Moscow
15 Aug
FK Rostov
1 : 1 Rubin Kazan
Page 1 of 3
Fakel Voronezh
(Away) 16 Sept
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0 Fakel Voronezh
12 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
2 : 2 Baltika
05 Sept
FK Rostov
3 : 1 Fakel Voronezh
01 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 2 Krasnodar
29 Aug
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 1 Zenit St Petersburg
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0 Fakel Voronezh
05 Sept
FK Rostov
3 : 1 Fakel Voronezh
18 Aug
Akhmat Grozny
2 : 1 Fakel Voronezh
15 Aug
CSKA Moscow
1 : 0 Fakel Voronezh
02 Aug
Krasnodar
3 : 2 Fakel Voronezh
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | 21 |
| 2 | Dynamo Moscow | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 19 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:7 | 19 |
| 5 | Zenit St Petersburg | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19:9 | 18 |
| 6 | Rubin Kazan | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 7 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15:16 | 12 |
| 8 | Baltika | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 11 |
| 9 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 10 | Akhmat Grozny | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 10 |
| 11 | Orenburg | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 7:10 | 9 |
| 12 | FK Rostov | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 13 | Akron Togliatti | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 15 | Rodina Moscow | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:22 | 5 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6:13 | 3 |
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)
