Sport Picks
FK Rostov vs Lokomotiv Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
Russian Cup Rostov Arena, Rostov 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Melekhin V. In: Sako O.
Out: Melekhin V.
46'
46'
Sub
Zhbanov I. In: Mironov A.
Out: Zhbanov I.
49'
49'
Rudenko A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lokomotiv Moscow
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- FK Rostov haven't matched Lokomotiv Moscow's recent run of results.
- 46% — that's where the model lands on Lokomotiv Moscow taking it.
- Lokomotiv Moscow arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Lokomotiv Moscow, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
FK Rostov Clean Sheet 20%
Lokomotiv Moscow Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FK Rostov | Lokomotiv Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 18, 2026 Russian Cup
FK Rostov vs Lokomotiv Moscow
1:0
Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
FK Rostov vs Lokomotiv Moscow
1:1
Nov 30, 2025 Premier League
FK Rostov vs Lokomotiv Moscow
1:3
Aug 23, 2025 Premier League
Lokomotiv Moscow vs FK Rostov
3:3
Apr 30, 2025 Russian Cup
Lokomotiv Moscow vs FK Rostov
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FK Rostov 10 / 100
Lokomotiv Moscow 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FK Rostov Lokomotiv Moscow
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lokomotiv Moscow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FK Rostov scored in 61% of their last 28 games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Lokomotiv Moscow's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.
Recent resilience: FK Rostov stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
FK Rostov VS Lokomotiv Moscow
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
FK Rostov
(Home) 09 Oct
FK Rostov
1 : 0 Akron Togliatti
03 Oct
FK Rostov
0 : 3 Krasnodar
17 Sept
FK Rostov
0 : 3 Dynamo Moscow
13 Sept
Spartak Moscow
3 : 0 FK Rostov
05 Sept
FK Rostov
3 : 1 Fakel Voronezh
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
FK Rostov
1 : 0 Akron Togliatti
03 Oct
FK Rostov
0 : 3 Krasnodar
17 Sept
FK Rostov
0 : 3 Dynamo Moscow
05 Sept
FK Rostov
3 : 1 Fakel Voronezh
01 Sept
FK Rostov
2 : 0 CSKA Moscow
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Lokomotiv Moscow
(Away) 10 Oct
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 5 Lokomotiv Moscow
03 Oct
Lokomotiv Moscow
2 : 0 Orenburg
26 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
0 : 2 Arsenal Tula
16 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 1 Krylya Sovetov Samara
12 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
2 : 1 Lokomotiv Moscow
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 5 Lokomotiv Moscow
12 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
2 : 1 Lokomotiv Moscow
06 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1 Lokomotiv Moscow
01 Sept
Akron Togliatti
1 : 0 Lokomotiv Moscow
22 Aug
CSKA Moscow
3 : 2 Lokomotiv Moscow
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Moscow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Rubin Kazan | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:7 | 4 |
| 3 | Orenburg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Rodina Moscow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 3 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Dynamo Moscow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Akhmat Grozny | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Fakel Voronezh | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:4 | 1 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 8 |
| 2 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Baltika | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 4 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 1 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Rostov | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Akron Togliatti | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 5 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:2 | 2 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
