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FK Rostov vs Lokomotiv Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Premier League Rostov Arena, Rostov
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
10:45 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Rostov host Lokomotiv Moscow in the Premier League. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: FK Rostov at 1.14 goals for, 1.29 against; Lokomotiv Moscow at 1.37 for, 0.93 against. Head-to-head, FK Rostov have won 2 to Lokomotiv Moscow's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 18, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.13) point toward FK Rostov. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
FK Rostov
15%
Draws
46%
Lokomotiv Moscow
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lokomotiv Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lokomotiv Moscow lately — more wins on the board than FK Rostov.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Lokomotiv Moscow taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
FK Rostov Clean Sheet 20%
Lokomotiv Moscow Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Rostov Lokomotiv Moscow
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.14 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.29 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 Russian Cup
FK Rostov vs Lokomotiv Moscow
1:0
Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
FK Rostov vs Lokomotiv Moscow
1:1
Nov 30, 2025 Premier League
FK Rostov vs Lokomotiv Moscow
1:3
Aug 23, 2025 Premier League
Lokomotiv Moscow vs FK Rostov
3:3
Apr 30, 2025 Russian Cup
Lokomotiv Moscow vs FK Rostov
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Rostov 10 / 100
Lokomotiv Moscow 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Rostov Lokomotiv Moscow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lokomotiv Moscow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Rostov's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Lokomotiv Moscow's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

FK Rostov has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FK Rostov VS Lokomotiv Moscow
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Rostov

(Home)
09 Oct
FK Rostov
1 : 0
Akron Togliatti
03 Oct
FK Rostov
0 : 3
Krasnodar
17 Sept
FK Rostov
0 : 3
Dynamo Moscow
13 Sept
Spartak Moscow
3 : 0
FK Rostov
05 Sept
FK Rostov
3 : 1
Fakel Voronezh
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Lokomotiv Moscow

(Away)
10 Oct
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 5
Lokomotiv Moscow
03 Oct
Lokomotiv Moscow
2 : 0
Orenburg
26 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
0 : 2
Arsenal Tula
16 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 1
Krylya Sovetov Samara
12 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
2 : 1
Lokomotiv Moscow
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zenit St Petersburg 10 7 0 3 22:11 21
2 Krasnodar 10 6 3 1 16:10 21
3 Spartak Moscow 10 6 2 2 17:8 20
4 Dynamo Moscow 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
5 CSKA Moscow 9 5 4 0 15:9 19
6 Orenburg 10 2 6 2 11:10 12
7 Rubin Kazan 9 2 6 1 12:11 12
8 Dynamo Makhachkala 10 4 0 6 15:20 12
9 Krylya Sovetov Samara 10 2 6 2 14:15 12
10 Baltika 9 3 2 4 14:12 11
11 FK Rostov 10 3 2 5 11:17 11
12 Lokomotiv Moscow 10 2 4 4 13:11 10
13 Akhmat Grozny 9 2 4 3 13:13 10
14 Akron Togliatti 10 1 5 4 11:19 8
15 Rodina Moscow 9 1 2 6 10:22 5
16 Fakel Voronezh 10 0 3 7 6:18 3
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)