Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Sarajevo vs Rudar Prijedor

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

WWIN Liga BiH 2025/2026 Stadion Asim Ferhatović Hase
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Sarajevo play Rudar Prijedor in the WWIN Liga BiH 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, FK Sarajevo averaged 1.35 goals scored and 1 conceded. Rudar Prijedor averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, FK Sarajevo won 3, Rudar Prijedor won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 2:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for FK Sarajevo and 1.19 for Rudar Prijedor. This points to a FK Sarajevo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
FK Sarajevo
20%
Draws
28%
Rudar Prijedor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Sarajevo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • FK Sarajevo picked up more points recently compared to Rudar Prijedor.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
FK Sarajevo Clean Sheet 20%
Rudar Prijedor Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 55%
Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Sarajevo Rudar Prijedor
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.35 1.17
Goals Conceded 1 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 WWIN Liga BiH
Rudar Prijedor vs FK Sarajevo
2:4
Mar 7, 2026 WWIN Liga BiH
FK Sarajevo vs Rudar Prijedor
2:2
Nov 22, 2025 WWIN Liga BiH
Rudar Prijedor vs FK Sarajevo
2:1
Aug 29, 2025 WWIN Liga BiH
FK Sarajevo vs Rudar Prijedor
1:0
Apr 10, 2022 WWIN Liga BiH
FK Sarajevo vs Rudar Prijedor
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Sarajevo Compare

Top Goalscorer Menalo L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Rudar Prijedor Compare

Top Goalscorer Romera D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Sarajevo 51 / 100
Rudar Prijedor 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Sarajevo Rudar Prijedor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FK Sarajevo or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.5%
2.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FK Sarajevo attacking → ← attacking Rudar Prijedor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Sarajevo scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Rudar Prijedor let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

FK Sarajevo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Rudar Prijedor lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 29
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Borac Banja Luka36275476:2086
2Zrinjski36218748:2571
3FK Sarajevo36198954:3765
4Velez Mostar361491336:3551
5Siroki Brijeg3611121337:4845
6Zeljeznicar3610121434:3742
7Radnik Bijeljina368111727:4535
8FK Sloga Meridian368101821:4634
9Posusje368101825:4134
10Rudar Prijedor36792031:5530