Sport Picks

Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3

Kursk

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FK Shumbrat Saransk play Kursk in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3. It looks like a close match. Recently, FK Shumbrat Saransk averaged 2 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. Kursk averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, FK Shumbrat Saransk won 0, Kursk won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 29, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for FK Shumbrat Saransk and 1.31 for Kursk. This points to a FK Shumbrat Saransk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

FK Shumbrat Saransk

23%

Draws

29%

Kursk

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: FK Shumbrat Saransk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

FK Shumbrat Saransk picked up more points recently compared to Kursk.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 74%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

FK Shumbrat Saransk Clean Sheet 18%

Kursk Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 67%

Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FK Shumbrat Saransk	Kursk
Matches Played	16	30
Wins	10	9
Draws	2	9
Losses	4	12
Goals Scored	2	1.2
Goals Conceded	1.31	1.4
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3

FK Shumbrat Saransk vs Kursk

Possession: 44% - 51% Cards: 1 - 0

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Shumbrat Saransk 47 / 100

Kursk 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FK Shumbrat Saransk Kursk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FK Shumbrat Saransk or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20%

2.50

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FK Shumbrat Saransk attacking → ← attacking Kursk

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Shumbrat Saransk scored in 94% of their last 16 games.

Kursk let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

FK Shumbrat Saransk went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Kursk lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 36

2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13