Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Shumbrat Saransk vs Strogino Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Chelyshev N.
14' Event
Trofimov V.
90'
Ermakov A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
FK Shumbrat Saransk
20%
Draws
44%
Strogino Moscow
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Strogino Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Strogino Moscow haven't matched FK Shumbrat Saransk's recent run of results.
  • Model gives FK Shumbrat Saransk a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
FK Shumbrat Saransk Clean Sheet 19%
Strogino Moscow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Shumbrat Saransk Strogino Moscow
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.66 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FK Shumbrat Saransk vs Strogino Moscow
1:1
Apr 26, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Strogino Moscow vs FK Shumbrat Saransk
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Shumbrat Saransk Compare

Top Goalscorer Trofimov V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Strogino Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Chelyshev N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Shumbrat Saransk 40 / 100
Strogino Moscow 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Shumbrat Saransk Strogino Moscow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Shumbrat Saransk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Shumbrat Saransk's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Strogino Moscow has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

FK Shumbrat Saransk went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Shumbrat Saransk VS Strogino Moscow
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Shumbrat Saransk

(Home)
10 Oct
FK Shumbrat Saransk
0 : 0
R. Volgograd 2
03 Oct
Kvant Obninsk
2 : 2
FK Shumbrat Saransk
26 Sept
FK Shumbrat Saransk
0 : 1
Salyut-Belgorod
17 Sept
FC Oryol
0 : 2
FK Shumbrat Saransk
12 Sept
FK Shumbrat Saransk
2 : 3
Rodina Moscow 3
Page 1 of 6

Strogino Moscow

(Away)
03 Oct
FC Oryol
1 : 0
Strogino Moscow
26 Sept
Strogino Moscow
2 : 5
Rodina Moscow 3
19 Sept
M. Lipetsk
1 : 0
Strogino Moscow
13 Sept
Strogino Moscow
3 : 0
Penza
06 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
1 : 2
Strogino Moscow
Page 1 of 6