Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Skopje vs Kozuf Gevgelija

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2025/2026 Stadion Železarnica
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

FK Skopje host Kozuf Gevgelija in the 2. MFL 2025/2026. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: FK Skopje at 2.5 goals for, 0.25 against; Kozuf Gevgelija at 2.5 for, 1.25 against. Head-to-head, FK Skopje have won 2 to Kozuf Gevgelija's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.38, favoring FK Skopje. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
FK Skopje
20%
Draws
38%
Kozuf Gevgelija
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Skopje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Skopje has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Kozuf Gevgelija.
  • Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for FK Skopje.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in 2. MFL 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
FK Skopje Clean Sheet 68%
Kozuf Gevgelija Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Skopje Kozuf Gevgelija
Matches Played 32 36
Wins 25 15
Draws 2 9
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 2.5 2.5
Goals Conceded 0.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 2. MFL
FK Skopje vs Kozuf Gevgelija
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 2. MFL
Kozuf Gevgelija vs FK Skopje
1:1
Mar 4, 2025 2. MFL
Kozuf Gevgelija vs FK Skopje
0:1
Sep 25, 2024 2. MFL
FK Skopje vs Kozuf Gevgelija
1:1
Mar 2, 2024 2. MFL
FK Skopje vs Kozuf Gevgelija
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Skopje 51 / 100
Kozuf Gevgelija 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Skopje Kozuf Gevgelija

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Skopje scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Kozuf Gevgelija let in goals in 56% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

FK Skopje went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Kozuf Gevgelija lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Skopje VS Kozuf Gevgelija
2.5 Goals Scored 2.5
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bregalnica Stip30225372:1771
2FK Skopje30232572:2071
3Shkendija Haracine30216367:1969
4Ohrid30215478:1768
5Belasica Strumica30184857:2158
6Osogovo30166853:2754
7Novaci30156947:3151
8Detonit Plackovica30147952:2849
9Kozuf Gevgelija30129950:2645
10Teteks301331456:4442
11Kamenica Sasa30991247:5336
12Vardar Negotino30642037:9522
13Sloga Vinica30432331:8415
14Prespa30502530:7615
15Pobeda30322519:11711
16Golemo Konjari30212717:1107