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FK Smiltene vs Bebri

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2017
FK Smiltene Logo

FK Smiltene

4 - 3
FT
Bebri Logo

Bebri

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2017 game between FK Smiltene and Bebri finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Smiltene.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
FK Smiltene
15%
Draws
42%
Bebri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Smiltene

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • FK Smiltene carry the better recent record into this one.
  • FK Smiltene are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular 1. Liga 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
FK Smiltene Clean Sheet 12%
Bebri Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Smiltene Bebri
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 9 4
Losses 22 21
Goals Scored 1.55 1
Goals Conceded 2.42 3.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2018 1. Liga
Bebri vs FK Smiltene
1:1
Jul 28, 2018 1. Liga
FK Smiltene vs Bebri
3:0
Oct 14, 2017 1. Liga
FK Smiltene vs Bebri
4:3
Jul 16, 2017 1. Liga
Bebri vs FK Smiltene
0:0
Jun 19, 2017 Latvian Cup
Bebri vs FK Smiltene
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Smiltene 35 / 100
Bebri 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Smiltene Bebri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bebri has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: FK Smiltene scored in 78% of their last 40 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Bebri's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

FK Smiltene VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Smiltene

(Home)
05 Sept
Alberts JDFS
3 : 2
FK Smiltene
29 Aug
FK Smiltene
0 : 6
FK Metta
23 Aug
Leevon PPK
4 : 2
FK Smiltene
08 Aug
FK Smiltene
1 : 4
Valmiera
02 Aug
JFK Ventspils
1 : 2
FK Smiltene
Page 1 of 8

Bebri

(Away)
19 May
Upesciema Warriors
3 : 1
Bebri
04 May
Bebri
3 : 2
JFC Viola
27 May
Sports United/Cesis
4 : 1
Bebri
22 May
Beitar
4 : 1
Bebri
04 Jul
Aliance
4 : 2
Bebri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 22 18 4 0 75:21 58
2 AFA Olaine 22 15 3 4 47:14 48
3 BFC Daugavpils 22 15 2 5 58:14 47
4 Grobina 22 14 2 6 62:41 44
5 Tukums 2000 22 10 3 9 36:39 33
6 Alberts JDFS 22 8 4 10 23:32 28
7 Rezekne 22 8 4 10 40:47 28
8 FK Smiltene 22 7 5 10 28:48 26
9 RTU 22 8 0 14 42:52 24
10 FK Auda Riga 22 6 5 11 36:45 23
11 Preilu BJSS 22 4 2 16 26:67 14
12 Bebri 22 1 2 19 14:67 5
13 Jekabpils SC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Ogre 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - SynotTip Virslīga 2018 (Main)
Promotion - SynotTip Virslīga 2017 (Relegation)