Sport Picks

Latvia

Latvian Cup 2023

FK Smiltene

1 - 3

Beitar

Our Tip

Match Events

36'

Gaismins V.

44'

Kuzmins V.

57'

Tepo R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Beitar in this Latvian Cup 2023 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

FK Smiltene

15%

Draws

42%

Beitar

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Smiltene

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence

Beitar have won more games recently than FK Smiltene.
42% — that's where the model lands on Beitar taking it.
Beitar arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Beitar, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 3 times recently and Beitar have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%

FK Smiltene Clean Sheet 10%

Beitar Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FK Smiltene	Beitar
Matches Played	41	30
Wins	7	14
Draws	9	2
Losses	25	14
Goals Scored	1.44	1.67
Goals Conceded	2.54	2.57
Expected Goals (xG)	1.10	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2023 1. Liga

FK Smiltene vs Beitar

1:4

Jun 22, 2023 Latvian Cup

FK Smiltene vs Beitar

1:3

May 28, 2023 1. Liga

Beitar vs FK Smiltene

5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Smiltene Compare

Top Goalscorer Gaismins V.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.85

Avg xA / game 0.55

Beitar Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuzmins V.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Tepo R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Smiltene 18 / 100

Beitar 57 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FK Smiltene Beitar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beitar Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beitar has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: FK Smiltene scored in 76% of their last 41 outings.

Beitar lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Smiltene VS -

1 Goals Scored 0

3 Goals Conceded 0

75% Over 1.5 0%

63% Over 2.5 0%

63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Smiltene

(Home)

23 Aug

Leevon PPK

4 : 2

FK Smiltene

08 Aug

FK Smiltene

1 : 4

Valmiera

02 Aug

JFK Ventspils

1 : 2

FK Smiltene

25 Jul

FK Smiltene

3 : 5

RFS 2

19 Jul

FK Smiltene

1 : 0

Rezekne

Page 1 of 9

Beitar

(Away)

12 Nov

Rezekne

2 : 1

Beitar

04 Nov

Beitar

0 : 4

JFK Ventspils

28 Oct

Beitar

3 : 0

Dinamo Riga

22 Oct

Tukums 2000 2

2 : 1

Beitar

08 Oct

Beitar

2 : 0

Saldus SS/Leevon

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

BFC Daugavpils -

TBD -

FK Auda Riga -

Kekava-Auda -

TBD -

FK Alberts -

Iecava -

TBD -

Rigas Futbola Skola -

Augsdaugavas -

TBD -

Betsafe -

TBD -

Saldus SS/Leevon -

TBD -

Riga FC -

FK Metta -

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

Aliance -

TBD -

Kadaga/Ostas 2

Namejs 1

TBD -

Dinamo Riga -

Valka -

TBD -

Marupe -

TBD -

Skanste -

DSVK Traktors -

TBD -

Upesciema Warriors -

TBD -

FK Smiltene -

Beitar -

TBD -

Madona/BJSS -

TBD -

Lielupe 3

FK Varaklani 0

Valmiera -

TBD -

Super Nova -

TBD -

Sigulda 2

Sports United/Cesis 3

TBD -

Bebri -

TBD -

Grobina -

AFA Olaine -

TBD -

JFK Ventspils -

TBD -

Tukums 2000 -

Jelgava -

TBD -

RFS -

Salaspils FK -

TBD -

Jekabpils SC -

Plavinas -

TBD -

FK Limbazi -

Ogre United -

TBD -

LSPA -

Riga United -

TBD -

RSU -

FK Union -

TBD -

Dobele Allegro 1

FK Ludza 0

TBD -

Alberts JDFS -

Rezekne -

TBD -

RTU 0

JFC Viola 3

TBD -

JFK Daugava -

1/64-finals

BFC Daugavpils -

TBD -

FK Auda Riga -

Kekava-Auda 5

FK Alberts 1

Iecava 0

Rigas Futbola Skola 2

Augsdaugavas 1

Betsafe 2

TBD -

Saldus SS/Leevon -

TBD -

Riga FC -

FK Metta -

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

Aliance 4

Kadaga/Ostas 0

TBD -

Dinamo Riga -

Valka 0

Marupe 7

TBD -

Skanste -

DSVK Traktors 0

Upesciema Warriors 1

TBD -

FK Smiltene -

Beitar -

TBD -

Madona/BJSS 0

Lielupe 1

Valmiera -

TBD -

Super Nova -

TBD -

Sports United/Cesis 4

Bebri 1

TBD -

Grobina -

AFA Olaine -

TBD -

JFK Ventspils -

TBD -

Tukums 2000 -

Jelgava -

TBD -

RFS -

Salaspils FK 1

Jekabpils SC 3

Plavinas 0

FK Limbazi 3

Ogre United 2

LSPA 1

Riga United 3

RSU 2

FK Union 4

Dobele Allegro 1

TBD -

Alberts JDFS -

Rezekne -

TBD -

JFC Viola 3

JFK Daugava 4

1/32-finals

BFC Daugavpils -

TBD -

FK Auda Riga -

Kekava-Auda 2

Rigas Futbola Skola 4

Betsafe 1

Saldus SS/Leevon 0

TBD -

Riga FC -

FK Metta -

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

Aliance 0

Dinamo Riga 2

Marupe 2

Skanste 0

Upesciema Warriors 0

FK Smiltene 2

Beitar 5

Lielupe 3

Valmiera -

TBD -

Super Nova -

TBD -

Sports United/Cesis 0

Grobina 7

AFA Olaine 4

JFK Ventspils 0

TBD -

Tukums 2000 -

Jelgava -

TBD -

RFS -

Jekabpils SC -

FK Limbazi -

Ogre United 4

Riga United 0

FK Union 0

Alberts JDFS 10

Rezekne 4

JFK Daugava 1

1/16-finals

BFC Daugavpils -

TBD -

FK Auda Riga -

Rigas Futbola Skola 1

Betsafe 2

TBD -

Riga FC -

FK Metta -

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

Dinamo Riga 0

Marupe 11

FK Smiltene 1

Beitar 3

Valmiera -

TBD -

Super Nova -

TBD -

Grobina 2

AFA Olaine 3

TBD -

Tukums 2000 -

Jelgava -

TBD -

RFS -

Jekabpils SC 3

Ogre United 1

Alberts JDFS 8

Rezekne 0

1/8-finals

BFC Daugavpils 1

FK Auda Riga 4

Betsafe 0

Riga FC 5

FK Metta 2

FK Liepaja 3

Marupe 0

Beitar 1

Valmiera 2

Super Nova 0

AFA Olaine 1

Tukums 2000 3

Jelgava 0

RFS 3

Jekabpils SC 0

Alberts JDFS 6

Quarter-finals

FK Auda Riga 0

Riga FC 4

FK Liepaja 7

Beitar 0

Valmiera 0

Tukums 2000 1

RFS 4

Alberts JDFS 1

Semi-finals

Riga FC 2

FK Liepaja 1

Tukums 2000 1

RFS 3

Final

Riga FC 2

RFS 1

FK Smiltene vs Beitar

Latvia

FK Smiltene

Beitar

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

FK Smiltene Compare

Beitar Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

FK Smiltene

Beitar

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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