Sport Picks

Latvia

1. Liga 2014

FK 1625 Liepaja

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FK Smiltene play FK 1625 Liepaja in the 1. Liga 2014. FK 1625 Liepaja are favorites here. Recently, FK Smiltene averaged 1.38 goals scored and 2.47 conceded. FK 1625 Liepaja averaged 3.07 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. In past meetings, FK Smiltene won 0, FK 1625 Liepaja won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 12, 2015 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for FK Smiltene and 1.63 for FK 1625 Liepaja. This points to a FK 1625 Liepaja double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%

FK Smiltene

16%

Draws

69%

FK 1625 Liepaja

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: FK 1625 Liepaja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

FK Smiltene picked up more points recently compared to FK 1625 Liepaja.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 1.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 89%

Over 2.5 Goals 76%

Over 3.5 Goals 46%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%

FK Smiltene Clean Sheet 14%

FK 1625 Liepaja Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 80%

Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FK Smiltene	FK 1625 Liepaja
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	4	18
Draws	7	7
Losses	21	5
Goals Scored	1.38	3.07
Goals Conceded	2.47	1.3

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2015 Nakotnes liga

FK Smiltene vs FK 1625 Liepaja

Possession: 41% - 41% Cards: 1 - 0

1:3

May 9, 2015 Nakotnes liga

FK 1625 Liepaja vs FK Smiltene

Possession: 54% - 53% Cards: 1 - 2

7:2

Oct 11, 2014 Nakotnes liga

FK Smiltene vs FK 1625 Liepaja

Possession: 56% - 54% Cards: 0 - 2

1:2

Jun 14, 2014 Nakotnes liga

FK 1625 Liepaja vs FK Smiltene

Possession: 42% - 50% Cards: 3 - 1

5:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Smiltene 16 / 100

FK 1625 Liepaja 64 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FK Smiltene FK 1625 Liepaja

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK 1625 Liepaja Win (2)

Secondary Pick FK 1625 Liepaja & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +114.3%

14.29

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.7%

1.43

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FK Smiltene attacking → ← attacking FK 1625 Liepaja

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Smiltene scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

FK 1625 Liepaja let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.25 goals.

FK Smiltene went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

FK 1625 Liepaja lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 61

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gulbene	30	27	3	0	128:11	84
2	Rezekne	30	25	2	3	118:27	77
3	Valmiera	30	22	2	6	105:34	68
4	FK 1625 Liepaja	30	21	4	5	87:34	67
5	RFS	30	18	4	8	104:39	58
6	FK Auda Riga	30	18	1	11	68:42	55
7	Tukums 2000	30	15	5	10	88:53	50
8	Ogre	30	11	4	15	60:50	37
9	Jekabpils SC	30	10	7	13	50:71	37
10	Preilu BJSS	30	10	1	19	60:92	31
11	AFA Olaine	30	8	6	16	51:81	30
12	SFK United	30	7	8	15	38:56	29
13	Saldus SS/Brocenu BJSS	30	8	1	21	37:86	25
14	FK Smiltene	30	5	9	16	37:77	24
15	Salaspils FK	30	2	7	21	24:84	13
16	Plavinas	30	0	2	28	10:228	2