Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
FK Smiltene play Leevon PPK in the Nakotnes liga. It looks like a close match. Recently, FK Smiltene averaged 1.53 goals scored and 2.15 conceded. Leevon PPK averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, FK Smiltene won 0, Leevon PPK won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 18, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for FK Smiltene and 2.50 for Leevon PPK. This points to a Leevon PPK double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- FK Smiltene picked up more points recently compared to Leevon PPK.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 2.50 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FK Smiltene | Leevon PPK |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 20 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 1.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.15 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 2.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.25 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FK Smiltene scored in 74% of their last 34 games.
Leevon PPK let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
FK Smiltene went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Leevon PPK lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Metta | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 42:11 | 31 |
| 2 | Valmiera | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 32:12 | 29 |
| 3 | Riga Mariners | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 25:10 | 28 |
| 4 | Leevon PPK | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20:15 | 24 |
| 5 | Alberts JDFS | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 25:20 | 20 |
| 6 | Marupe | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 22:15 | 19 |
| 7 | Super Nova 2 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 8 | Riga FC 2 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 9 | Skanste | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 20:21 | 13 |
| 10 | RFS 2 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 15:26 | 9 |
| 11 | Tukums 2000 2 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 16:31 | 8 |
| 12 | JFK Ventspils | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12:20 | 7 |
| 13 | Rezekne | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10:36 | 5 |
| 14 | FK Smiltene | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12:33 | 4 |