Sport Picks
FK Smiltene vs Marupe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Latvia
1. Liga 
AI Match Summary
FK Smiltene host Marupe in the 1. Liga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. FK Smiltene have averaged 1.5 scored and 2.57 conceded recently, against Marupe's 1.47 scored and 1.53 conceded. Head-to-head, FK Smiltene have won 1 to Marupe's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 4, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.88 - 2.13) back Marupe to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Marupe carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular 1. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FK Smiltene | Marupe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 17 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.57 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FK Smiltene found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).
Marupe has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Solid form: FK Smiltene remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
FK Smiltene
(Home)Marupe
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Metta | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 96:18 | 60 |
| 2 | Valmiera | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 63:26 | 53 |
| 3 | Leevon PPK | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 49:27 | 53 |
| 4 | Riga Mariners | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 54:30 | 50 |
| 5 | Alberts JDFS | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 46:33 | 41 |
| 6 | Marupe | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 37:34 | 33 |
| 7 | Riga FC 2 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 36:39 | 30 |
| 8 | Skanste | 23 | 8 | 2 | 13 | 46:48 | 26 |
| 9 | Super Nova 2 | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 30:36 | 26 |
| 10 | FK Smiltene | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 34:61 | 20 |
| 11 | Tukums 2000 2 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 31:65 | 19 |
| 12 | RFS 2 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 37:65 | 18 |
| 13 | JFK Ventspils | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21:45 | 16 |
| 14 | Rezekne | 23 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 17:70 | 6 |
